Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Australia	ESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Canada	Sportsnet World
Croatia	SportKlub 1
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	Nova Sports 6
India	Eurosport, JioTV app
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	GolStadium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Triller TV+


	Ajax		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.25	9.5	Watch
	1.25	6.4	10.5
	1.3	6.14	10.53
	1.04	10.73	40.00	Watch
	1.28	6.08	10.6	Watch
	1.14	8.6	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.13)	7.37 ↓ (8.5)	16.19 ↑ (15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
80.7%

Draw
13.3%

NAC Breda
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

11%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

NAC Breda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.2%	31.8%	0%

Ajax - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 48.7% – 87.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Breda (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Breda (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaros V. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 4. Itakura K. 5. Wijndal O. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 8. Taylor K. 17. Edvardsen O. 10. Gloukh O. 11. Godts M. 19. Konadu D.	99. Bielica D. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 12. Greiml L. 22. Hillen R. 4. Kemper B. (C) 90. Holtby L. 16. Balard M. 32. Talvitie J. 10. Nassoh M. 14. Sowah K. 17. van Hooijdonk S.
Substitutes
23. Berghuis S. 43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 24. Mokio J. 7. Moro R. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 6. Regeer Y. 2. Rosa L. 48. Steur S. 25. Weghorst W.	7. Brym C. 21. Candelaria J. 20. Jensen F. 5. Kongolo T. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 8. Leemans C. 15. Mahmutovic E. 11. Paula R. 6. Staring C. 25. Valerius C. 23. Versluis D.
Coaches
Heitinga J.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Gloukh O. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
16', 1 - 1, van Hooijdonk S. (Pen),
39', Hillen R. 🟨,
40', Itakura K. 🟨,
41', Nassoh M. 🟨,
45+3', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Konadu D. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
46', Edvardsen O. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
46', 2 - 1, Taylor K. ⚽,
64', Balard M. 🟨,
71', Balard M. 🟨,
74', Talvitie J. ↓, Brym C. ↑,
76', Godts M. ↓, Berghuis S. ↑,
81', Holtby L. ↓, Leemans C. ↑,
82', Lucassen B. ↓, Valerius C. ↑,
82', Nassoh M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
84', Gloukh O. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
84', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
88', Sowah K. ↓, Versluis D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Breda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ajax is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Ajax: Dolberg K. (Abdominal strain) Weghorst W. (Back Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Ajax: Wijndal O. (Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:6. (average 3.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:2. (average 3.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
21.09.25	PSV Eindhoven - Ajax	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Ajax - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.09.25	Ajax - Zwolle	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Volendam - Ajax	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Ajax - Heracles Almelo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLWTW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
20.09.25	NAC Breda - Heracles Almelo	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Twente - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	NAC Breda - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	NEC Nijmegen - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
17.08.25	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
06.04.25	Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1
18.08.24	NAC Breda - Ajax	2:1
17.02.19	Ajax - NAC Breda	5:0
24.11.18	NAC Breda - Ajax	0:3
04.02.18	Ajax - NAC Breda	3:1
18.11.17	NAC Breda - Ajax	0:8
19.04.15	Ajax - NAC Breda	0:0

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