Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Ajax		Roma

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.9	3.6
	1.95	3.75	3.7
	1.98	3.9	3.75
	1.92	3.75	3.55
	1.95	3.95	3.7
	1.95	3.7	3.6
	2.01	4	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3.85 ↑ (3.76)	3.69 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ajax
49.1%

Draw
24.9%

Roma
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

25.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

20.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Roma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roma than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	8.1%	8.1%

Ajax - Roma Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (187 of 223 users predict this - 83.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.03% – 88.69%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Ajax was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (64%), has a chance of final (30%), has a chance of win league (17%).

Roma was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (36%), has a small chance of final (12%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Ajax in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Roma is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajax will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.21	Heerenveen - Ajax	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Ajax - ADO Den Haag	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Young Boys - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.21	Zwolle - Ajax	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Ajax - Young Boys	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- AS Roma
Italian Serie A
03.04.21	Sassuolo - Roma	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Roma - Napoli	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.03.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Roma	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.03.21	Parma - Roma	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.03.21	Roma - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLW

Upcoming Matches