Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: RZD Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Brazil	Xsports
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.54	3.78	2.09
	3.4	3.65	2.04
	3.53	3.84	2.12
	3.25	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.55)	3.71 ↑ (3.55)	2.08 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
27.9%

Draw
25.9%

Dynamo Moscow
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.7%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dynamo M will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 45. Silyanov A. 23. Montes C. 14. Dzhikiya G. 3. Lucas Fasson 75. Eremeev I. 6. Babkin S. 19. Rudenko A. 47. Godyaev D. 9. Pinyaev S. 11. Rakov V.	1. Rasulov K. (G) 4. Caceres J. 55. Osipenko M. 57. David Ricardo 8. Rubens 21. Miranchuk An. 15. Glebov D. 10. Bitello 91. Gladyshev Y. 33. Sergeev I. (C) 11. Arthur Gomes
Substitutes
7. Bakaev Z. 74. Chevardin D. 63. Golubev V. 8. Kovalenko A. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 85. Morozov E. 24. Nenakhov M. 59. Pogostnov E. 17. Saltykov N. 88. Shchetinin M. 16. Veselov D. (G)	17. Babaev U. 24. Chavez L. 6. Fernandez R. 31. Leshchuk I. (G) 2. Marichal N. 60. Marinkin T. 88. Okishor V. 7. Skopintsev D. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Galaktionov M.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Godyaev D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dzhikiya G. ↓, Morozov E. ↑,
52', Miranchuk An. ↓, Chavez L. ↑,
65', Arthur Gomes ↓, Marinkin T. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Osipenko M. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Godyaev D. ↓, Bakaev Z. ↑,
81', Eremeev I. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
85', Montes C. 🟨,
87', Sergeev I. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
89', Pinyaev S. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
89', Rakov V. ↓, Golubev V. ↑,
90+5', Bakaev Z. 🟨,
90+6', David Ricardo 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 3.

Recent form of Lokomotiv has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dynamo M has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dynamo M will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lokomotiv: Komlichenko N. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo M: Lunev A. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.2:1.6).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Dynamo Moscow: 7.61% Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19
12	Lokomotiv Moscow	10	2	4	4	13:11	2	10

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Moscow - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Dynamo Moscow - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.61%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
22.08.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.08.26	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.08.26	Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTT
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
23.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
19.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.08.26	Zenit - Dynamo Moscow	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
05.08.26	Fakel - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
01.05.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
04.10.25	Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:5
15.03.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:1
Russian Cup
28.11.24	Lokomotiv Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	0:2 penalties
05.11.24	Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2
Russian Premier League
27.07.24	Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:1
03.03.24	Dynamo Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1

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