Match Info

Date: 31 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Camacho J. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Atlante

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.15
	3.05	2.88	2.28
	3.1	3	2.2
	3.54	2.97	2.36
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	3.3	2.93	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.95)	2.92 ↓ (3)	2.24 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
28.1%

Draw
31.2%

Atlante
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

30.2%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	23.1%	53.8%

Alacranes de Durango - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Atlante will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlante: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlante is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlante will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.08.22	Dorados - Alacranes de Durango	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
02.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
28.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWT
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.08.22	Atlante - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:1 ✺
18.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Atlante	1:1 ✺
11.08.22	Atlante - Atlético Morelia	1:0 ✺
05.08.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlante	1:3 ✺
26.07.22	Atlante - Dorados	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTWWW

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