Match Info

Date: 14 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Raya2 Expansión

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.14	3.05	3.15
	2.09	3.1	3.25
	2.16	3.22	3.69
	2.05	2.9	3.6
	2	3.26	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)	3.09 ↑ (2.9)	3.43 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
43.9%

Draw
29.5%

Raya2 Expansión
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Raya2 Expansión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	36.4%	9.1%

Alacranes de Durango - Raya2 Expansión Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alacranes de Durango: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Alacranes de Durango is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Raya2 Expansión has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alacranes de Durango will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango	4:0 ✺
31.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Atlante	1:1 ✺
24.08.22	Dorados - Alacranes de Durango	2:2 ✺
17.08.22	Alacranes de Durango - Leones Negros UdeG	1:0 ✺
09.08.22	Pumas Tabasco - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWL
- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.09.22	Dorados - Raya2 Expansión	2:1 ✺
01.09.22	Raya2 Expansión - Celaya	2:3 ✺
23.08.22	Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión	1:0 ✺
16.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	1:2 ✺
11.08.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

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