Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Central American Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto (Alajuela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
World	Disney+


	Alajuelense		Real Estelí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.25
				Watch
	1.61	3.55	6.43
	1.64	3.34	6.37	Watch
	1.56	3.62	5.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.37)	3.53 ↓ (4.5)	5.89 ↓ (8.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF Central American Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Alajuelense
58.1%

Draw
26.2%

Real Estelí
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

20.8%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

17.8%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alajuelense's form might have worsened.

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Alajuelense - Real Estelí Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alajuelense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Estelí will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Moreira L. (G) 26. Pinar F. 25. van der Putten S. 13. Gamboa A. 27. Lawrence I. 28. Navarro J. 5. Borges C. (C) 8. Angulo L. 11. Campos D. 97. Anderson Canhoto 19. Toril A.	25. Vega J. (G) 11. Hernandez B. 19. Martinez E. J. 23. Acevedo O. 27. Quijano J. (C) 6. Ochoa I. 10. Medina H. 16. Vargas D. 18. Parra W. 8. Vieyra J. 7. Bonilla B.
Substitutes
29. Aguilar D. 14. Falque I. 3. James M. 2. Martinez C. 22. Matarrita R. 1. Mora B. (G) 9. Moya J. 16. Oviedo B. 35. Parkins R. 34. Perez C. 10. Suarez A. 4. Villalobos Alfaro G.	13. Baez A. 26. Cunningham S. 17. Delgado J. 4. Fletes M. 1. Forvis E. D. (G) 28. Gallego P. 34. Gutierrez J. 3. Nino H. 21. Ordonez B. 14. Salmeron I. 12. Talavera W. 2. Vallecillo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Angulo L. ⚽,
23', Medina H. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Toril A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Hernandez B. ↓, Gallego P. ↑,
58', Angulo L. 🟨,
62', Toril A. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
72', Pinar F. ↓, James M. ↑,
72', Campos D. ↓, Falque I. ↑,
79', Quijano J. ↓, Nino H. ↑,
80', Anderson Canhoto ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
80', Navarro J. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
80', James M. 🟨,
86', Nino H. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 1, Medina H. ⚽,
90+3', Acevedo O. 🟨,
90+6', Moya J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Alajuelense is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Real Estelí is Qualified for CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Real Estelí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Alajuelense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Alajuelense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
30.11.24	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.11.24	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.11.24	Alajuelense - Puntarenas FC	4:0 ✺
19.11.24	Alajuelense - Herediano	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Santa Ana - Alajuelense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWW
- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.11.24	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
20.11.24	Managua - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	5:1 ✺
03.11.24	Deportivo Ocotal - Real Estelí	3:4 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.10.24	Herediano - Real Estelí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
27.11.24	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	1:1
05.12.23	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	1:1
28.11.23	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	0:3
CONCACAF League
02.12.20	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	2:1
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.09.12	Alajuelense - Real Estelí	1:0
28.08.12	Real Estelí - Alajuelense	0:1

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