Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Alania Vladikavkaz		Fakel

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.4
	1.87	3.35	3.45
	1.92	3.4	3.25
	2	3.76	3.58
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.99	3.72	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.73)	3.54 ↓ (3.66)	3.43 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alania Vladikavkaz
47.3%

Draw
26%

Fakel
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

17%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alania Vladikavkaz's form might have worsened.

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fakel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alania Vladikavkaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Alania Vladikavkaz - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Alania is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alania won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Alania won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
25.09.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Metallurg Lipetsk	5:0 ✺
15.09.21	Volgar Astrakhan - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - SKA Khabarovsk	3:1 ✺
05.09.21	Olimp Dolgoprudny - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWTWT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
25.09.21	Fakel - Spartak 2 Moscow	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Kuban Krasnodar - Fakel	0:4 ✺
15.09.21	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1 ✺
11.09.21	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
05.09.21	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
07.04.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Fakel	2:0
13.10.20	Fakel - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0

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