The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Albirex Niigata 35.5%
Draw 30.5%
Fagiano Okayama 33.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.2%
28.9%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
29.7%
34.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
The chances for Fagiano Okayama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 28. Shimamura T. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 99. Ono Y.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 18. Tagami D. 15. Kudo K. 26. Motoyama H. 33. Kamiya Yuta 41. Miyamoto E. 50. Kato H. 27. Kimura T. 8. Esaka A. 22. Ichimi K.
Substitutes
65. Boudah A. 1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Geria J. 42. Hashimoto K. 14. Ohara M. 33. Takagi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 50. Uemura H. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
3. Fujii K. 19. Iwabuchi H. 77. Kawanami G. (G) 99. Lucao 28. Matsumoto M. 17. Sueyoshi R. 43. Suzuki Y. 7. Takeuchi R. 88. Yanagi T.
Coaches
Irie T.
Kiyama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Ichimi K. ⚽, Motoyama H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Hayakawa F. 🟨,
56', Kimura T. ↓, Lucao ↑,
61', Ono Y. ↓, Boudah A. ↑,
61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Shirai E. ⚽, Okumura J. (A),
74', Shimamura T. ↓, Ohara M. ↑,
75', Motoyama H. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
75', Ichimi K. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
75', Tagami D. ↓, Suzuki Y. ↑,
83', Miyamoto E. 🟨,
84', Hayakawa F. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
84', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
88', Miyamoto E. ↓, Takeuchi R. ↑,
90+1', Esaka A. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
90+3', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
90+7', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Okayama: Sato R.
(International duty)
Tatsuta Y.
(Injury)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
China
Japan
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Tashiro R. (G) 
Brodersen S. (G) 
Boudah A. 
Geria J. 
Lucao 
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