Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Menendez A. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Alianza Atlético		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.8
	1.68	3.65	4.85	Watch
	1.69	3.76	5.09
	1.69	3.74	4.88	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.66	3.64	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.64 ↓ (3.9)	4.92 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
55.7%

Draw
25.4%

Cajamarca
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

23.9%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Prieto D. (G) 21. Perleche E. 4. Villegas J. C. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 23. Munoz A. 22. del Castillo J. 17. Penilla C. 9. Robaldo V.	12. Aspajo S. (G) 44. Gomez C. 14. Rodas A. 6. Miguez P. 13. Lagos R. 20. Meza C. 18. Orejuela J. G. 11. Arrasco M. 31. Enciso S. 17. Palacios B. 9. Barcos H. (C)
Substitutes
99. Barreda M. 7. Coronel F. 37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 25. Guzman W. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 20. Perez J. 2. Suarez R. 77. Valladolid C.	27. Betancourt J. 1. Mosquera C. (G) 8. Moyano A. 29. Ocas F. 25. Paucar E. 7. Pineau S. 26. Timana H. 30. Vega J. C.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Ayala Gavilan C. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Palacios B. ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
32', Munoz A. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
33', Arrasco M. 🟨,
45+2', Gordillo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Meza C. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
61', Penilla C. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
61', del Castillo J. ↓, Valladolid C. ↑,
65', Palacios B. 🟨,
75', Palacios B. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
75', Arrasco M. ↓, Ocas F. ↑,
82', Lupu H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
90', Enciso S. ↓, Pineau S. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alianza Atlético is seen as the favorite.

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Larios Saavedra G. A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Injury) Rodriguez A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Deportivo Macará - Alianza Atlético	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.26	Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atlético	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Alianza Atlético - América de Cali	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
15.05.26	Cajamarca - Sporting Cristal	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Cajamarca - Cajamarca	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Cajamarca - Sport Boys	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Moquegua - Cajamarca	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLL

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