The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Juan Pablo II College 30.9%
Draw 28.6%
Alianza Atlético 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
31%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
30.1%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo II College's form might have worsened.
Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo II College, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
62.5%
25%
Juan Pablo II College - Alianza Atlético Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Juan Pablo II (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juan Pablo II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 6. Fuentes P. 22. Peralta M. 30. Canova J. 5. Garcia C. 18. Ramirez E. 50. Alaniz M. 28. Duran J. (C) 29. Tizon C. 7. Henricks A.
95. Prieto D. (G) 25. Guzman W. 4. Villegas J. C. 6. Lujan J. 21. Perleche E. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 20. Perez J. 23. Munoz A. 9. Robaldo V. 22. del Castillo J.
Substitutes
26. Agurto F. 11. Aliaga R. 80. Barreto J. 20. Bazan H. 17. Espinoza A. 8. Flores C. 39. Juambeltz M. 12. Quispe I. (G) 15. Ramirez N.
99. Barreda M. 7. Coronel F. 37. Delgado J. 16. Fernandez S. 1. Hermoza E. (G) 19. Mendieta J. 17. Penilla C. 2. Suarez R. 77. Valladolid C.
Coaches
Arce E.
Urciuoli F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, del Castillo J. ⚽,
29', Perez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia C. ↓, Flores C. ↑,
52', Tizon C. 🟨,
55', Tizon C. ↓, Ramirez N. ↑,
67', Toledo J. 🟨,
69', del Castillo J. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
69', Perez J. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
72', Peralta M. ↓, Juambeltz M. ↑,
75', Prieto D. 🟨,
78', Lujan J. 🟨,
82', Canova J. 🟥,
87', 0 - 2, Penilla C. ⚽, Robaldo V. (A),
90', Henricks A. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
90', Robaldo V. ↓, Valladolid C. ↑,
90', Munoz A. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
90+2', Lupu H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
Preview
Juan Pablo II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Alianza Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Juan Pablo II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juan Pablo II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
Including home match between the teams, Juan Pablo II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.