Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Atlético		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.20	6.25	Watch
	1.44	4.00	5.75
	1.53	4.10	6.25	Watch
	1.54	4.15	5.97
	1.52	4.2	6.02	Watch
	1.47	4.20	6.30
	1.48	4.27	6.36	Watch
	1.45	4.10	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.89)	4.15 ↑ (3.5)	6.11 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
62.5%

Draw
22.3%

Cajamarca
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

26.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Atlético's performance.

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Atlético that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Alianza Atlético (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alianza Atlético will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 16. Fernandez S. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 10. Diaz G. 15. Lupu H. (C) 27. Ingratti J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C.	21. Bettocchi R. (G) 17. Garro L. 3. Ganoza M. 6. Cavagna F. 5. Huerto J. 35. Paredes G. 88. Arce L. 16. Figuera A. (C) 10. Lliuya M. 22. Camacho D. 11. Arroyo A.
Substitutes
22. del Castillo J. 37. Delgado J. 8. Flores F. 25. Guzman W. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 9. Robaldo V.	1. Campos A. (G) 15. Cantt J. 9. de Jesus M. 8. Dioses D. 18. Galvez S. 19. Munoz A. 7. Nunez J.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Molins C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Lupu H. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
7', 2 - 0, Penilla C. ⚽, Larios Saavedra G. A. (A),
21', Figuera A. 🟨,
29', Huerto J. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
29', 2 - 1, Ganoza M. ⚽, Arce L. (A),
37', Ganoza M. 🟨,
37', Lujan J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 2 - 2, Arce L. ⚽, Camacho D. (A),
63', Larios Saavedra G. A. 🟨,
65', Ingratti J. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
65', Molina J. ↓, del Castillo J. ↑,
69', Camacho D. ↓, de Jesus M. ↑,
82', Arroyo A. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
83', Arce L. ↓, Dioses D. ↑,
84', Lliuya M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
84', Larios Saavedra G. A. ↓, Robaldo V. ↑,
89', Penilla C. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
90+2', Cavagna F. 🟨,
90+5', Gordillo A. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 2, Munoz A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 2.

Alianza Atlético has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cajamarca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Alianza Atlético is the team to beat.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Campos A. (Face Injury)

There are questionable in Alianza Atlético: Villegas J. C. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Alianza Atlético will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:3. (average 1.9:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Cajamarca	10	0	2	8	11:24	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
30.08.26	Moquegua - Alianza Atlético	1:4 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
25.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
21.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Atlético	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWTW
- UTC De Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
29.08.26	Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes	2:4 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
25.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
22.08.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Alianza Lima - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Copa de la Liga
25.08.26	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:1 penalties
Peruvian Liga 1
22.03.26	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1
11.08.25	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0
08.03.25	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	0:0
01.08.24	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1
16.02.24	Alianza Atlético - Cajamarca	2:0
14.07.23	Cajamarca - Alianza Atlético	1:1

Upcoming Matches