Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Congo F. (Ecu)


	Alianza Lima		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.85
	4.2	3.75	1.84
	4.1	3.5	1.81
	4.25	3.82	1.85
	4.2	3.25	1.8	Watch
	4.1	3.65	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.99)	3.64 ↑ (3.6)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
22.7%

Draw
25.8%

Fortaleza
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

26.8%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.5%	11.1%	70.4%

Alianza Lima - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 53.2% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Alianza Lima is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
14.05.22	Alianza Lima - Universidad César Vallejo	2:0 ✺
09.05.22	Universidad San Martín - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.22	Alianza Lima - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
01.05.22	Alianza Lima - Carlos Stein	5:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Fortaleza - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWL
- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie A
15.05.22	Botafogo RJ - Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.22	Vitória Salvador - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.05.22	Fortaleza - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.22	Fortaleza - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
01.05.22	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
27.04.22	Fortaleza - Alianza Lima	2:1

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