Match Info

League One - Round 31

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Recreation Park (Alloa)


	Alloa Athletic		Dumbarton

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	3.75
	1.78	3.6	3.5
	1.88	3.65	3.6
	1.84	3.77	3.9	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.8
	1.73	3.87	4.28	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.93)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)	3.78 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alloa Athletic
50.7%

Draw
25%

Dumbarton
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

25.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alloa Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alloa Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alloa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Morrison P. (G) 2. Taggart S. 16. Dewar C. 23. Devine D. 27. MacKenzie M. 9. Donnelly L. 8. Roberts K. 20. O'Donnell C. 12. Scougall S. 25. Gentles J. 24. Rankin L.	28. Kelly S. (G) 18. Webster K. 31. Miller M. 5. Durnan M. 3. Young G. 21. McGuffie C. 8. Wilson D. 12. Pignatiello C. 10. Gray F. 17. Hilton J. 23. Ruth M.
Substitutes
19. Buchanan S. 7. Cawley K. 10. Honeyman S. 15. McKay D. 22. Mullen R. 6. Neill M. 1. Ogayi T. (G) 18. Sammon C. 17. Thomson K.	6. Blair R. 24. Clark C. 14. Gilfedder A. 2. Lynas A. 9. Mumbongo J. 7. Orsi K. 1. Sliwinski M. (G) 11. Wallace T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Donnelly L. ⚽, MacKenzie M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', Wilson D. 🟨,
49', Taggart S. (Pen),
66', Rankin L. ↓, Buchanan S. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Ruth M. (Pen),
74', Devine D. ↓, McKay D. ↑,
76', Ruth M. ↓, Mumbongo J. ↑,
79', MacKenzie M. 🟨,
79', 1 - 2, McGuffie C. ⚽,
81', O'Donnell C. ↓, Sammon C. ↑,
83', Wilson D. ↓, Blair R. ↑,
83', Hilton J. ↓, Orsi K. ↑,
83', McGuffie C. ↓, Wallace T. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Sammon C. ⚽, Taggart S. (A),
90+2', 2 - 3, Durnan M. ⚽,

Preview

Dumbarton is Relegated to League Two

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alloa won 0.

Recent matches Alloa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dumbarton is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Dumbarton have a series of home games.

In this match Alloa is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Alloa won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 24:37 (average 1.2:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Alloa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alloa Athletic
Scottish League One
22.03.25	Inverness - Alloa Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Queen of the South - Alloa Athletic	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Alloa Athletic - Arbroath	2:3 ✺
01.03.25	Alloa Athletic - Cove Rangers	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Annan Athletic - Alloa Athletic	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLWW
- Dumbarton
Scottish League One
22.03.25	Dumbarton - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Arbroath - Dumbarton	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Dumbarton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Dumbarton - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
01.02.25	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:1
03.12.24	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	2:2
Scottish Cup
29.11.24	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	3:2
Scottish League One
10.08.24	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	3:3
02.04.22	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	2:3
19.02.22	Dumbarton - Alloa Athletic	1:2
20.11.21	Alloa Athletic - Dumbarton	1:2

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