Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+
Usa	ESPN+


	Almería		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	6	Watch
	1.41	4.6	6
	1.39	4.85	6.5	Watch
	1.38	5.42	7.88
	1.36	5.44	7.51	Watch
	1.36	4.6	7.5
	1.39	5.14	7.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.52)	5.04 ↑ (4.38)	7.05 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
68.1%

Draw
18.6%

Valladolid
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.6%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

21.2%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	12%	0%

Almería - Valladolid Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Almería (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almería will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 5. Rodrigo Ely 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 17. Lopy D. 29. Dzodic S. 12. Leo Baptistao (C) 11. Arribas S. 23. Embarba A. 24. de la Fuente M.	13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 2. Michelin C. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. (C) 18. Clerc C. 11. Ndiaye A. 21. Ponceau J. 12. Alani I. 17. Biuk S. 38. Carvajal A. 9. Latasa J.
Substitutes
14. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 8. Gui Guedes 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 4. Monte N. 7. Morcillo J. 2. Puigmal A. 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys	1. Aceves A. (G) 14. Alejo I. 40. Chinedu B. 26. de Pablo A. (G) 35. Galdeano A. 27. Garriel I. 23. Jaouab M. 16. Maroto M. 8. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 30. Modesto H. 22. Peter Federico 37. Riki
Coaches
Rubi	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Clerc C. 🟨,
42', Munoz A. 🟨,
42', Michelin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Tomeo P. 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Arribas S. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Alani I. ↓, Maroto M. ↑,
66', Carvajal A. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
67', Ndiaye A. ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
72', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
72', Embarba A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
80', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
81', Biuk S. ↓, Chinedu B. ↑,
81', Ponceau J. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
87', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,
87', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
90+2', Puigmal A. 🟨,
90+7', Chinedu B. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Almería is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Horta A. (Injury)

There will not play in Valladolid: Bueno G. (Knee Injury) Canos S. (Knee Injury) Erlien V. (Health problems) Juric S. (Yellow Cards) Lachuer M. (Yellow Cards) Marcos Andre (Surgery) Martinez R. (Yellow Cards) Ohio N. (Knee Injury) Sanseviero L. (Red Card)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.8:1.1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Almeria: 14.77% Valladolid: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18
14	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Sporting de Gijón - Almería	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Burgos - Almería	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Almería - Mirandés	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Granada - Almería	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.26	Valladolid - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Racing Santander - Valladolid	4:1 ✺
09.05.26	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Valladolid - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.09.25	Valladolid - Almería	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
28.05.23	Almería - Valladolid	0:0
05.09.22	Valladolid - Almería	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
16.04.22	Valladolid - Almería	2:2
20.11.21	Almería - Valladolid	3:1
Club Friendly
25.07.18	Almería - Valladolid	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
18.03.18	Valladolid - Almería	2:1

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