Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 33

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Netherlands	ESPN Extra


	Almere City		Fortuna Sittard

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.33	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	1.82	3.7	4.3	Watch
	1.82	3.88	4.27
	1.81	3.84	4.22	Watch
	2	3.5	3.2
	1.87	3.83	4.26	Watch
	1.82	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	3.7 ↑ (3.62)	4.04 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
50.7%

Draw
25.7%

Fortuna Sittard
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.1%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

27.1%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	5%	40%

Almere City - Fortuna Sittard Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 3 - 50%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Fortuna Sittard (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Fortuna Sittard (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Almere City (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 27. Martins M. 4. Visus R. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 19. Haye T. 8. Tahiri A. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C) 12. Jasim A. 18. Brym C.	31. Branderhorst M. (G) 28. Mitrovic J. 6. van Ottele S. 14. Guth R. (C) 35. Dijks M. 32. Rosier L. 80. Fosso R. 33. Bullaude E. 77. Tunjic L. 8. Dahlhaus J. 19. Radulovic B.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 2. Dankerlui D. 21. Guillaume B. 17. Hansen K. 3. Jacobs Jo. 16. Nalic A. 39. Poku E. 7. Providence R. 28. Receveur T. 31. van der Wilt J. (G) 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	30. Bah A. 5. Grujcic D. 36. Johnson O. 1. Koopmans L. (G) 25. Martens N. (G) 20. Michut E. 7. Peterson K. 12. Pinto I. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 9. Sierhuis K.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Buijs D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Kadile J. ⚽, Zagaritis V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Haye T. 🟨,
59', Bullaude E. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
59', Dijks M. ↓, Pinto I. ↑,
60', Rosier L. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
64', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
66', Guth R. 🟨,
67', Mitrovic J. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
75', Martins M. ↓, Dankerlui D. ↑,
75', Kadile J. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Radulovic B. ⚽, Pinto I. (A),
85', Jasim A. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
85', Robinet T. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
86', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Grujcic D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 0.

Almere City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Fortuna Sittard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fortuna Sittard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Almere City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Injury) Ritmeester van de Kamp J. (Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M. (Injury) Bastien S. (Illness) Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Da Cruz A. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Ankle Injury) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almere City: Nalic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Adewoye S. (Injury) Peterson K. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.25	Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
27.04.25	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Heerenveen - Almere City	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	PSV Eindhoven - Almere City	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Almere City - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT
- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
10.05.25	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	PSV Eindhoven - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
27.04.25	Fortuna Sittard - Willem II	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Fortuna Sittard - Feyenoord	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Twente - Fortuna Sittard	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
16.08.24	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	3:0
24.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	0:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.08.23	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:1
Dutch Eerste Divisie
30.03.18	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:4
01.09.17	Fortuna Sittard - Almere City	2:1
27.01.17	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	2:0

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