Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion (Sittard) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Manschot J. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Kenya	13:15	Gotv
Netherlands	12:15	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	11:15	SupeSport ESPN 1
South Africa	12:15	SupeSport ESPN


	Fortuna Sittard		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.3	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.55	2.45
	2.85	3.51	2.52
	2.77	3.59	2.43	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.77	3.42	2.66	Watch
	2.16	3.55	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.16)	3.45 (3.45)	2.59 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fortuna Sittard
35.6%

Draw
27.7%

NAC Breda
36.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

26.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.2%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Breda will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koopmans L. (G) 21. Kasanwirjo N. 4. Adewoye S. 28. Hubner J. 8. Dahlhaus J. 6. van Ottele S. 23. Brittijn P. 18. Limnios D. 70. Duijvestijn L. 7. Peterson K. 9. Sierhuis K. (C)	99. Bielica D. (G) 3. Odoi D. 12. Greiml L. 8. Leemans C. 4. Kemper B. (C) 20. Jensen F. 14. Sowah K. 32. Talvitie J. 90. Holtby L. 11. Paula R. 24. Ayew A.
Substitutes
19. Gladon P. 52. Ihattaren M. 45. Johnson O. 36. Korkmazyurek H. 44. Marquez I. 25. Martens N. (G) 5. Oukili Y. 38. Schenkhuizen T. 48. van Parys L. (G)	16. Balard M. 7. Brym C. 55. Ghalidi B. 22. Hillen R. 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Mahmutovic E. 10. Nassoh M. 26. Reulen P. 19. Salama A. 9. Soumano M. 25. Valerius C.
Coaches
Buijs D.	Hoefkens C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Peterson K. 🟨,
23', Adewoye S. 🟨,
38', Holtby L. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Peterson K. ⚽, Kasanwirjo N. (A),
65', Talvitie J. ↓, Ghalidi B. ↑,
65', Jensen F. ↓, Salama A. ↑,
68', Peterson K. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
68', Limnios D. ↓, Ihattaren M. ↑,
69', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
73', Ayew A. 🟨,
78', Sowah K. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
78', Ayew A. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
86', van Ottele S. ↓, Johnson O. ↑,
86', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Marquez I. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Nassoh M. ⚽, Salama A. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3.

Recent performances by Fortuna Sittard have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Breda is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R. (Knee Injury) Branderhorst M. (Injury) Halilovic A. (Inactive) Hubner J. (Inactive) Lonwijk J. (Muscle Injury) Marsman N. (Inactive) Michut E. (Inactive) Pinto I. (Inactive) Sinkgraven D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Breda: Soumano M. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Gbemou M. (Inactive) Ihattaren M. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sittard	10	5	3	2	17:17	0	18

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 7.97% Sittard: 0.21%

Last Results with these Odds

NAC Breda - the odds 3.07 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie
04.04.26	AZ Alkmaar - Fortuna Sittard	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Volendam - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Telstar	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWLW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
05.04.26	NAC Breda - Sparta Rotterdam	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Zwolle - NAC Breda	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - NAC Breda	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
27.02.26	Telstar - NAC Breda	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.08.25	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	2:1
10.05.25	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	1:0
14.09.24	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	1:0
21.04.19	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	2:1
16.09.18	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	2:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.03.17	Fortuna Sittard - NAC Breda	0:2
21.10.16	NAC Breda - Fortuna Sittard	3:1

Upcoming Matches