Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 32

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Indonesia	Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra


	Almere City		Sparta Rotterdam

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.4
	2.65	3.7	2.48
	2.78	3.73	2.5
	2.67	3.69	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.45
	2.79	3.61	2.53	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.58)	3.63 ↓ (3.64)	2.47 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
35.2%

Draw
26.2%

Sparta Rotterdam
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

25.9%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.5%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almere City's performance.

Sparta Rotterdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Rotterdam might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almere City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Rotterdam than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Rotterdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	6.2%	56.2%

Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Sparta Rotterdam will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sparta Rotterdam: 32% – 80.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sparta Rotterdam (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sparta Rotterdam (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sparta Rotterdam (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 27. Martins M. 3. Jacobs Jo. 15. Lawrence J. 14. Zagaritis V. 8. Tahiri A. 19. Haye T. 11. Kadile J. 9. Robinet T. (C) 12. Jasim A. 18. Brym C.	1. Olij N. (C) 2. Bakari S. 3. Young M. 4. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. Kleijn M. 10. Hlynsson K. 6. Zechiel G. 8. Kitolano J. 7. van Bergen M. 9. Lauritsen T. 11. Mito S.
Substitutes
23. Balboa A. 22. Barbet T. 21. Guillaume B. 17. Hansen K. 41. Mateyo M. (G) 39. Poku E. 7. Providence R. 37. Puriel J. 28. Receveur T. 29. Wendlinger J. (G)	16. Clement P. 18. de Guzman J. 13. de Ligt M. 21. Ideho J. 14. Meissen R. 17. Nassoh M. 15. Oufkir A. 12. Reith B. 30. Reitmaier K. (G) 20. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 19. Thorisson N.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Steijn M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Mito S. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
52', Young M. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, van Bergen M. ⚽, Hlynsson K. (A),
60', Lawrence J. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
60', Jasim A. ↓, Hansen K. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Eerdhuijzen M. ⚽,
71', Tahiri A. ↓, Receveur T. ↑,
71', Kadile J. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
84', Kitolano J. ↓, de Guzman J. ↑,
84', Zechiel G. ↓, Clement P. ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Hlynsson K. ⚽, Clement P. (A),
90+2', Eerdhuijzen M. ↓, Meissen R. ↑,
90+2', Lauritsen T. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 1.

In recent matches, Almere City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sparta Rotterdam is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sparta Rotterdam may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Almere City: Akujobi H. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:34. (average 1.5:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
27.04.25	Almere City - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Heerenveen - Almere City	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	PSV Eindhoven - Almere City	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Almere City - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Willem II - Almere City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTW
- Sparta Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
04.05.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Twente	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Heerenveen	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Fortuna Sittard - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
19.10.24	Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City	2:2
13.04.24	Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam	2:3
05.11.23	Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City	1:2
Dutch Eerste Divisie
15.03.19	Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam	1:3
07.12.18	Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City	6:1
14.03.16	Almere City - Sparta Rotterdam	1:0
06.11.15	Sparta Rotterdam - Almere City	3:2

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