Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Alpendorada		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.6
	4.9	3.35	1.6
	5.63	3.55	1.61
	5.3	3.68	1.6
	5.2	3.6	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.17 ↑ (4.63)	3.54 ↓ (3.59)	1.6 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alpendorada
17.6%

Draw
25.7%

Lusitânia
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.4%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

24.8%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Alpendorada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alpendorada won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Gondomar - Alpendorada	3:1 ✺
02.04.23	Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
19.03.23	Rebordosa - Alpendorada	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Alpendorada - Resende	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Alpendorada - Valadares Gaia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Lusitânia - Valadares Gaia	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Camacha - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Lusitânia - Machico	2:0 ✺
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Lusitânia - Alpendorada	2:1

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