The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 47.3%
Draw 31.5%
Arsenal Sarandí 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.2%
25.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
25.2%
16.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
Arsenal Sarandí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Arsenal Sarandí (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Silva K. 6. Irazoque A. 3. Monzon L. 8. Gobetto J. 5. Bolivar A. 7. Martinez E. 11. Becker D. (C) 9. Susvielles J. 10. Bergara M.
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Sosa A. 6. Cocca M. 3. Cabrera I. 7. Purita E. 8. Trombini M. 5. Vila J. 11. Serrano V. 10. Fernandez E. 9. Sabatini I.
Substitutes
16. Ascacibar J. 20. Bolzicco T. 17. Borgnino M. 19. Castellano A. 13. Fernandez T. 12. Henricot F. (G) 15. Mansilla M. 18. Miori M. 14. Ortale M.
16. Abbruzzesse M. 15. Ayala A. 20. Echevarria F. 14. Frascone N. 19. Klusener G. 17. Lucero M. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 18. Rius C. 13. Roselli N.
Coaches
Quattrocchi P.
Franco D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Fernandez E. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Serrano V. ⚽,
43', Sosa A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez E. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
46', Sosa A. ↓, Roselli N. ↑,
58', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
64', Irazoque A. 🟨,
64', Serrano V. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
70', Bergara M. 🟨,
71', Gobetto J. ↓, Mansilla M. ↑,
77', Trombini M. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
77', Purita E. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
79', Bolivar A. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
79', Bergara M. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
90+2', Sabatini I. ↓, Echevarria F. ↑,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Arsenal Sarandí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Alvarado is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Alvarado won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Argentina
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