Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: FC Alverca Sports Complex (Alverca do Ribatejo)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV2, Sport TV3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Alverca		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.97	5.27
	1.67	3.92	5.08	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.8
	1.7	3.87	5.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	3.8 ↑ (3.79)	5.13 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca
56.7%

Draw
24.9%

AVS
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

25%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Alverca - AVS Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Alverca will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gomes A. (G) 14. Baseya S. 5. Gomez S. (C) 33. Meupiyou B. 2. Touaizi N. 26. Rhaldney 18. Lincoln 12. James I. 20. Figueiredo 9. Marezi 10. Chiquinho	1. Adriel (G) 21. Neiva G. 97. Mateus Pivo 33. Santos A. 3. Paulo Vitor 24. Kiki (C) 23. Mendonca G. 70. Roni 27. Algobia A. 7. Tomane 20. Duarte D.
Substitutes
19. Clairicia M. 98. Garcia F. 6. Gui D. 3. Martinez J. 31. Matheus Mendes (G) 17. Moreira V. 11. Nuozzi C. 91. Sandro Lima 82. Spencer D.	11. Akinsola T. 19. Galletto T. 25. Green A. 5. Molina G. 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 26. Ponck 35. Semedo R. 93. Simao (G)
Coaches
Custodio	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Mateus Pivo 🟨,
34', Algobia A. ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
38', Neiva G. 🟨,
39', James I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Galletto T. 🟨,
56', Marezi ↓, Sandro Lima ↑,
63', Neiva G. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
63', Tomane ↓, Perea O. ↑,
72', Duarte D. ↓, Ponck ↑,
72', Mateus Pivo ↓, Molina G. ↑,
78', Chiquinho ↓, Moreira V. ↑,
78', Rhaldney ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
84', Baseya S. ↓, Spencer D. ↑,
84', James I. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Alverca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

AVS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Alverca is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Alverca: Abdulai S. (Injury) Diarra S. (Muscle Injury) Mendes T. (Muscle Injury) Naves (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in AVS: Baroan A. (Injury) Devenish C. (Yellow Cards) Green A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Alverca: Chissumba (Injury) Leo Chu (Injury)

There are questionable in AVS: Pedro Lima (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
28.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Alverca	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Tondela - Alverca	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Benfica - Alverca	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTLT
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
28.02.26	AVS - Estrela da Amadora	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Benfica - AVS	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
05.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.10.25	AVS - Alverca	1:3

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