Match Info

Taça de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon)

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	RTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	FOX Sports
Canada	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Indonesia	TVRI, Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	RTP 1, RTPi, Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	JOJ Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Usa	beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol


	Sporting Lisbon		AVS

	1	X	2
	1.1	8.5	21	Watch
	1.08	9.3	25
	1.09	10.76	19.98
	1.1	10.36	21.5	Watch
	1.08	8.5	19
	1.11	9.26	22	Watch
	1.11	8.5	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↑ (1.07)	9.31 ↓ (9.5)	21.35 ↓ (31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
85.5%

Draw
10.1%

AVS
4.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.2%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Sporting Lisbon - AVS Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1, 1st Half - Sporting (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Virginia J. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 25. Inacio G. 72. Quaresma E. 91. Mangas R. 14. Kochorashvili G. 42. Hjulmand M. 17. Trincao 23. Braganca D. 31. Luis Guilherme 97. Suarez L.	93. Simao (G) 42. Devenish C. 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas D. 23. Mendonca G. 27. Algobia A. 70. Roni 8. Pedro Lima 21. Neiva G. 20. Duarte D. 7. Tomane
Substitutes
20. Araujo M. 10. Catamo G. 26. Diomande O. 15. Faye S. 8. Goncalves P. 5. Morita H. 11. Santos N. 1. Silva R. (G) 52. Simoes J.	1. Adriel (G) 11. Akinsola T. 90. Baroan A. 19. Galletto T. 15. Grau J. 24. Kiki 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 33. Santos A. 88. Trigueira (G)
Coaches
Borges R.	Henriques J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Roni 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Luis Guilherme ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
39', Luis Guilherme 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 2 - 0, Paulo Vitor (Own goal),
56', Neiva G. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
56', Duarte D. ↓, Akinsola T. ↑,
56', Tomane ↓, Baroan A. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Pedro Lima (Penalty Awarded),
66', Quaresma E. 🟨,
68', Kochorashvili G. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
68', Braganca D. ↓, Goncalves P. ↑,
77', Trincao ↓, Santos N. ↑,
79', Roni ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
83', Algobia A. ↓, Nene ↑,
83', Paulo Vitor 🟨,
86', Luis Guilherme ↓, Faye S. ↑,
88', Pedro Lima 🟨,
90', Baroan A. ↓, Grau J. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
95', Mangas R. ↓, Araujo M. ↑,
98', Simao 🟨,
106', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Catamo G. ↑,
117', 3 - 2, Catamo G. ⚽, Faye S. (A),

Preview

Sporting is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

AVS has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sporting is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Blopa S. (Inactive) Debast Z. (Injury) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in AVS: Molina G. (Leg Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 3.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
01.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sporting Lisbon	2:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
24.01.26	Arouca - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Casa Pia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWWWW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
23.01.26	Casa Pia - AVS	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	AVS - Arouca	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	AVS - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Porto - AVS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
13.12.25	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	6:0
23.02.25	AVS - Sporting Lisbon	2:2
22.09.24	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:0

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