Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 24

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine


	AVS		Estrela da Amadora

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.78	3.25	2.48	Watch
	2.89	3.37	2.56
	2.87	3.33	2.48	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.96	3.29	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.73)	3.25 ↓ (3.34)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
33.5%

Draw
29.1%

Estrela da Amadora
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

AVS - Estrela da Amadora Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Adriel (G) 97. Mateus Pivo 33. Santos A. 3. Paulo Vitor 12. Rivas L. 27. Algobia A. 70. Roni 23. Mendonca G. (C) 11. Akinsola T. 7. Tomane 20. Duarte D.	40. Ribeiro R. (G) 17. Encada J. 14. Bernardo Schappo 4. Lekovic S. 83. Otavio 6. Jansson K. 99. Marcus A. 10. Stoica I. 19. Moreira P. 11. Jovane (C) 20. van Hooijdonk S.
Substitutes
42. Devenish C. 19. Galletto T. 24. Kiki 21. Neiva G. 18. Nene 14. Perea O. 26. Ponck 35. Semedo R. 88. Trigueira (G)	26. Brahimi B. 39. Doue G. 13. Dudu (G) 2. Kalley Y. 18. Meireles J. 28. Moustier T. 3. Ni 8. Robinho 9. Rodrigo Pinho
Coaches
Henriques J.	Silva L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Rivas L. 🟨,
55', van Hooijdonk S. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
58', Encada J. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
62', Duarte D. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
62', Rivas L. ↓, Kiki ↑,
72', Doue G. 🟨,
73', Santos A. ↓, Ponck ↑,
73', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
75', Jansson K. ↓, Robinho ↑,
75', Jovane ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
75', Stoica I. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
76', Akinsola T. ↓, Neiva G. ↑,
81', Mendonca G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in AVS: Baroan A. (Injury)

There will not play in Estrela: Langa B. (Inactive) Luan Patrick (Red Card)

There are questionable in AVS: Pedro Lima (Inactive)

There are questionable in Estrela: Kalley Y. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, AVS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Liga Portugal
21.02.26	Benfica - AVS	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	AVS - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Famalicão - AVS	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
05.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - AVS	3:2 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
02.02.26	AVS - Braga	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL
- Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal
20.02.26	Estrela da Amadora - Tondela	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Alverca - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Benfica - Estrela da Amadora	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.09.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	3:0
11.05.25	Estrela da Amadora - AVS	0:1
28.12.24	AVS - Estrela da Amadora	1:1

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