Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 37

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	América Mineiro		Bahia

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.91	Watch
	3.75	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.98	3.82	1.93
	4.01	3.83	1.93
	3.7	3.6	1.83
	3.78	3.72	1.89	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (3.96)	3.72 ↑ (3.46)	1.9 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
24.6%

Draw
25.5%

Bahia
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.1%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

25.5%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	13.3%	86.7%

América Mineiro - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jori (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 45. Ricardo Silva 18. Cesar J. 6. Marlon 21. Lucas Kal 8. Juninho (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 75. Rodriguinho 37. Everaldo 78. Renato Marques	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 2. Gilberto 4. Kanu (C) 31. Vitor Hugo 46. Luciano Juba 5. Rezende 26. Nicolas Acevedo 16. Thaciano 8. Cauly 10. Biel 9. Everaldo
Substitutes
44. Adyson 93. Aguerre W. (G) 16. Ale 26. Burgos E. 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 80. Cazares 20. Daniel Borges 22. Danilo Avelar 33. Eder Ferreira 91. Ighor Gabryel 10. Martin Benitez 23. Mendez J.	7. Ademir 35. Adriel (G) 38. Candido C. 40. Cicinho 33. David Duarte 17. Diego Rosa 3. Gabriel Xavier 18. Leo Cittadini 19. Lucas Mugni 11. Ratao R. 21. Vinicius Mingotti 29. Vitor Jacare
Coaches
Giacomini D.	Rogerio Ceni

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

América MG is Relegated to Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.

América MG has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bahia will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in América MG: Aloisio (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury) Nicolas Vichiatto (Injury) Rodrigo Varanda (Injury)

There will not play in Bahia: Raul Gustavo (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
29.11.23	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	4:0 ✺
26.11.23	América Mineiro - Flamengo	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	América Mineiro - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
29.11.23	Bahia - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
24.11.23	Corinthians - Bahia	1:5 ✺
12.11.23	Bahia - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
09.11.23	Bahia - Cuiabá	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	Grêmio - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:1
16.10.21	América Mineiro - Bahia	0:0
30.06.21	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:4
25.11.18	América Mineiro - Bahia	1:0
11.08.18	Bahia - América Mineiro	1:0
Copa do Brasil
18.05.16	Bahia - América Mineiro	0:1
11.05.16	América Mineiro - Bahia	0:0

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