Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 35

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	América Mineiro		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.4	Watch
	8.1	4.96	1.43
	8.11	4.96	1.41
	5.8	4	1.5
	7.2	4.8	1.4	Watch
	7	4.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (5.9)	4.72 ↑ (4.07)	1.42 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
13%

Draw
20.1%

Flamengo
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

23%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

22.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

América Mineiro - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: Flamengo will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Jori (G) 20. Daniel Borges 33. Eder Ferreira 18. Cesar J. 6. Marlon 21. Lucas Kal 5. Emmanuel Martinez 16. Ale 37. Everaldo 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 11. Felipe Azevedo (C)	17. Rossi A. (G) 34. Matheuzinho 15. Fabricio Bruno 4. Leo Pereira 6. Ayrton Lucas 5. Pulgar E. 20. Gerson 14. de Arrascaeta G. 27. Bruno Henrique (C) 9. Pedro 11. Everton
Substitutes
44. Adyson 93. Aguerre W. (G) 26. Burgos E. 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 22. Danilo Avelar 91. Ighor Gabryel 10. Martin Benitez 36. Mateus Henrique 23. Mendez J. 78. Renato Marques 75. Rodriguinho 4. Wanderson	7. Everton Ribeiro 16. Filipe Luis 10. Gabriel 31. Luiz Araujo 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 30. Pablo 3. Rodrigo Caio 1. Santos (G) 8. Thiago Maia 2. Varela G. 29. Victor Hugo 43. Wesley
Coaches
Giacomini D.	Tite

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

América MG is Relegated to Serie B

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 0.

América MG is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Flamengo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Flamengo have a series of home games.

In this match Flamengo is certain favorite.

There will not play in América MG: Aloisio (Injury) Cazares (Injury) Matheusinho (Injury) Nicolas Vichiatto (Injury) Rodrigo Varanda (Injury) Rodriguinho (Injury)

There will not play in Flamengo: Allan (Injury) David Luiz (Head Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6-18.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
12.11.23	Vasco da Gama - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	América Mineiro - Coritiba	0:3 ✺
04.11.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
01.11.23	Internacional RS - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	América Mineiro - Grêmio	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTTL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
23.11.23	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Flamengo - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
08.11.23	Flamengo - Palmeiras	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Fortaleza - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
01.11.23	Flamengo - Santos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
22.07.23	Flamengo - América Mineiro	1:1
22.10.22	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:2
25.06.22	Flamengo - América Mineiro	3:0
26.09.21	América Mineiro - Flamengo	1:1
13.06.21	Flamengo - América Mineiro	2:0
26.08.18	América Mineiro - Flamengo	2:2
21.04.18	Flamengo - América Mineiro	2:0

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