Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday


	Amorebieta		Málaga

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	4	Watch
	2	2.95	3.6
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	2.09	3.05	3.65
	2.16	3.1	4.11
	2.35	3	3.2	Watch
	2.07	3.25	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.45)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.77 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
44.8%

Draw
30.3%

Málaga
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.9%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

22.2%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amorebieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Amorebieta - Málaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18).

Amorebieta has the most likely position - 20 (23.68%), has project points - 42, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Málaga has the most likely position - 18 (19.73%), has project points - 46, has currently - 33, has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 63, match rating 44. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Amorebieta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Málaga is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Málaga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amorebieta will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
27.02.22	Valladolid - Amorebieta	5:1 ✺
21.02.22	Amorebieta - Leganés	1:3 ✺
13.02.22	Lugo - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
06.02.22	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Amorebieta - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTTW
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
28.02.22	Málaga - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Real Sociedad B - Málaga	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Málaga - Almería	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Zaragoza - Málaga	1:1 ✺
30.01.22	Mirandés - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.21	Málaga - Amorebieta	1:2

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