The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Antigua GFC 54.2%
Draw 24.9%
Xelajú 20.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50%
26.6%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
26.4%
23.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+3%)
Antigua GFC - Xelajú Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 12. Ardon J. 77. Camargo E. 17. Castellanos O. 19. Espinoza J. 7. Galvez J. 34. Lopez K. J. 15. Maziero A. 21. Robinson A. 6. Rosales J. . Zuniga S.
1. Silva D. (G) 23. Calderon R. 16. Cardona J. 26. Cardoza E. 6. de Leon M. 7. Diaz Y. 10. Lopez A. 5. Monreal E. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. 25. Ruiz K. 13. Tebalan W.
Substitutes
81. Fajardo W. 24. Fernandez D. 5. Garcia A. 8. Garzaro S. 2. Gonzalez A. 16. Gonzalez J. 10. Mora I. 72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 27. Palencia D.
18. Castaneda J. 12. Gonzalez E. 4. Hernandez M. 70. Jaen Y. 19. Joj J. 24. Marquez R. . Racancoj J. 98. Sican E. (G) 8. Ubico J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Maziero A. ⚽,
29', Castellanos O. 🟨,
35', Lopez A. 🟨,
42', Cardona J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Camargo E. ↓, Fajardo W. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Fajardo W. ⚽,
64', Marquez R. 🟨,
66', Calderon R. ↓, Jaen Y. ↑,
66', Castellanos O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Fernandez D. ⚽,
70', Robinson A. 🟨,
84', Lopez A. ↓, Joj J. ↑,
85', Fajardo W. 🟨,
90+1', Tebalan W. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Antigua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Xelajú has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Antigua for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Antigua has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:29 (averaging 1.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Antigua against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).
Mexico
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Moran L. (G) 
Camargo E. 
Lopez K. J. 
Maziero A. 
Robinson A. 
Silva D. (G) 
Monreal E. 
Jaen Y. 
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