Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Canal+, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
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World	Sport 24


	Tottenham Hotspur		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.45
	2.85	3.5	2.48
	3.03	3.55	2.44
	2.49	3.79	2.59	Watch
	2.88	3.67	2.53	Watch
	2.51	3.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.5)	3.63 ↓ (3.77)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tottenham Hotspur
35.1%

Draw
26.6%

Manchester United
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

25.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tottenham Hotspur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.2%	20.5%	51.3%

Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Tottenham will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). Man Utd will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Man Utd (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tottenham (2.06) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - draw (1.43) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DNB - Tottenham (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Tottenham (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Man Utd (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 17. Romero C. (C) 37. van de Ven M. 24. Spence D. 6. Palhinha J. 29. Sarr P. M. 22. Johnson B. 7. Simons X. 9. Richarlison 39. Kolo Muani R.	31. Lammens S. (G) 4. de Ligt M. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 3. Mazraoui N. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 16. Diallo A. 10. Cunha M. 19. Mbeumo B.
Substitutes
70. Akhamrich Y. 30. Bentancur R. 4. Danso K. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 76. Rowswell J. 44. Scarlett D. 11. Tel M. 13. Udogie D.	1. Bayindir A. (G) 2. Dalot D. 38. Fletcher J. 26. Heaven A. 7. Mount M. 30. Sesko B. 25. Ugarte M. 15. Yoro L. 11. Zirkzee J.
Coaches
Frank T.	Amorim R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Johnson B. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Mbeumo B. ⚽, Diallo A. (A),
34', Romero C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Odobert W. ↑,
58', Mazraoui N. ↓, Sesko B. ↑,
67', Porro P. ↓, Udogie D. ↑,
72', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
72', Maguire H. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
72', Cunha M. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
75', Palhinha J. 🟨,
79', Dorgu P. 🟨,
79', Palhinha J. ↓, Bentancur R. ↑,
79', Simons X. ↓, Tel M. ↑,
80', Dorgu P. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Tel M. ⚽, Udogie D. (A),
88', Romero C. ↓, Danso K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Richarlison ⚽, Odobert W. (A),
90+2', Richarlison 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, de Ligt M. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
90+7', Danso K. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 4.

Tottenham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Man Utd is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Man Utd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Tottenham: Bergvall L. (Concussion) Bissouma Y. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Muscle Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Gray A. (Calf Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Kudus M. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tottenham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tottenham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Tottenham Hotspur - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 38.07%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Copenhagen	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Newcastle United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWT
- Manchester United
English Premier League
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Brentford - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
21.05.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0
English Premier League
16.02.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	1:0
English League Cup
19.12.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	4:3
English Premier League
29.09.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3
14.01.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
19.08.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:0
27.04.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2

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