Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24


	Everton		Tottenham Hotspur

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3.1
	2.4	3.3	3.1
	2.38	3.4	3.22
	63.65	12.26	1.03	Watch
	2.43	3.39	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.63 ↑ (2.5)	5.15 ↑ (3.38)	2.74 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
10.9%

Draw
30.9%

Tottenham Hotspur
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.2%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Everton's form might have worsened.

Tottenham Hotspur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tottenham Hotspur's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+29.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Everton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tottenham Hotspur than the current prediction. (-26.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tottenham Hotspur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	43.1%	26.2%

Everton - Tottenham Hotspur Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 20 - 32.8%). Tottenham will win (votes: 16 - 26.2%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 41%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.7% – 53.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tottenham (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Everton (1.36) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Tottenham (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Everton (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Tottenham (votes: 4 - 19%). Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 9. Beto	1. Vicario G. (G) 23. Porro P. 4. Danso K. 37. van de Ven M. (C) 24. Spence D. 6. Palhinha J. 30. Bentancur R. 20. Kudus M. 7. Simons X. 22. Johnson B. 39. Kolo Muani R.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 11. Barry T. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 7. McNeil D. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	15. Bergvall L. 67. Byfield J. 14. Gray A. 31. Kinsky A. (G) 28. Odobert W. 9. Richarlison 29. Sarr P. M. 44. Scarlett D. 11. Tel M.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Frank T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, van de Ven M. ⚽, Bentancur R. (A),
45+6', 0 - 2, van de Ven M. ⚽, Porro P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Garner J. 🟨,
61', Simons X. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
62', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Richarlison ↑,
66', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
66', O'Brien J. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
71', Grealish J. 🟨,
78', Kudus M. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
86', Gueye I. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Sarr P. M. ⚽, Richarlison (A),
90+3', Johnson B. ↓, Tel M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Everton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tottenham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tottenham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Tottenham: Bissouma Y. (Ankle Injury) Davies B. (Muscle Injury) Dragusin R. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Maddison J. (Knee Injury) Romero C. (Muscle Injury) Solanke D. (Ankle Injury) Takai K. (Foot Injury) Udogie D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Patterson N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tottenham: Williams-Barnett L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:46. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.6:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
29.09.25	Everton - West Ham United	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Everton	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWTLL
- Tottenham Hotspur
UEFA Champions League
22.10.25	Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur	0:0 ✺
English Premier League
19.10.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
30.09.25	Bodø Glimt - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
27.09.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
19.01.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2
24.08.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	4:0
03.02.24	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2
23.12.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	2:1
03.04.23	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	1:1
15.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	2:0
07.03.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Everton	5:0

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