Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Arsenal Sarandí		River Plate

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.61
	5.25	3.8	1.62
	5.25	3.7	1.63
	5.2	3.75	1.61
	5.99	3.73	1.66
	5.1	3.92	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.42 ↑ (4.32)	3.78 ↑ (3.3)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
17.3%

Draw
24.9%

River Plate
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

28.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

27.6%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.2%	14.6%	73.2%

Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 5 - 12.2%). River Plate will win (votes: 30 - 73.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 59.6% – 86.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6).

River Plate has the most likely position - 1 (39.93%), has project points - 50, has currently - 21, has a chance of win league (40%).

Recent matches Arsenal Sarandí is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

River Plate is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match River Plate is a favorite.

There will not play in Arsenal Sarandí: Brochero L. (Injury) Pombo J. (Injury) Sanchez B. (Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Martinez H. (Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Injury) Rojas R. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.08.22	Colón - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
06.08.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
01.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
26.07.22	Arsenal Sarandí - Rosario Central	0:3 ✺
19.07.22	Racing - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTLT
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.08.22	River Plate - Newells Old Boys	4:1 ✺
07.08.22	Independiente - River Plate	0:1 ✺
31.07.22	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2 ✺
24.07.22	Aldosivi - River Plate	0:3 ✺
21.07.22	River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.21	River Plate - Arsenal Sarandí	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.04.21	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.09.12	Arsenal Sarandí - River Plate	0:4

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