Match Info

FNL - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Fakel

	1	X	2
	4.67	3.52	1.8
	4.79	3.56	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.67)	3.54 ↑ (3.46)	1.8 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
20.1%

Draw
26.9%

Fakel
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.6%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

27.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Volga Ulyanovsk - Fakel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Baburin E. (G) 20. Kovalev K. 6. Tikhiy D. 4. Ibragimov K. 27. Umnikov M. 99. Kostin A. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 28. Novikov D. 90. Folmer K. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 14. Yakovlev V.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 5. Gabaraev A. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 20. Yurganov I. 23. Yakimov V. 55. Todorovic D. 18. Simonov K. 52. Netfullin R. 99. Giorgobiani N. 19. Pusi B. 93. Uridia M.
Substitutes
77. Bagatelia L. 1. Dovgal A. (G) 97. Eremeev D. (G) 17. Gershun I. 92. Kasyanov I. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 7. Murza A. 87. Pshennikov E. 22. Rakhmanov D. 19. Rudenko V. 37. Voronin E.	70. Abdokov N. 10. Alshin I. 8. Bagamaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 62. Kalinichev V. (G) 27. Magkeev S. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Motpan N. 9. Turishchev M.
Coaches
Belov M.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Yurganov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', Khabibullin A. 🟨,
57', Yakovlev V. 🟨,
59', Kamenshchikov D. 🟨,
61', Yakimov V. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
61', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Gabaraev A. ⚽,
67', Pusi B. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
67', Uridia M. ↓, Gnapi Dable A. ↑,
69', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Krasilnichenko O. ↑,
69', Novikov D. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
71', Kovalev K. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
71', Tikhiy D. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
74', Todorovic D. ↓, Alshin I. ↑,
75', Folmer K. ↓, Voronin E. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Turishchev M. ⚽,
80', Netfullin R. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Turishchev M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Fakel is Qualified for Premier League

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Volga Ulyanovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fakel is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Volga Ulyanovsk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
10.05.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rotor - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rodina Moscow - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TLTWT
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
08.05.26	Fakel - SKA Khabarovsk	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Torpedo Moscow - Fakel	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Fakel - Shinnik	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Chayka Peschanokopskoye - Fakel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
04.10.25	Fakel - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1

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