Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport MIX
World	Onefootball


	Ascoli		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.18	2.98	3.3	Watch
	2.28	3	3.58
	2.29	2.69	3.6	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.3
	2.27	2.91	3.53	Watch
	2.17	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.15)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)	3.44 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ascoli
41.5%

Draw
31.6%

Catania
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.4%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Ascoli - Catania Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 33. Rizzo N. 17. Guiebre A. 80. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. 3. Celli A. 7. Jimenez K. 10. Cicerelli E. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 22. Dente R. 14. Galuppini F. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 29. Palazzino F. 5. Rama A. 60. Zagari R.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 12. Coco L. (G) 99. D'Ausilio M. 47. Di Noia G. 20. Donnarumma D. 19. Raimo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Jimenez K. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Corradini G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Quaini A. ↓, Di Noia G. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Guiebre A. ⚽,
56', Cicerelli E. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
57', Pieraccini S. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Gori G. ⚽,
66', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
69', Silipo A. ↓, Del Sole F. ↑,
69', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
70', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
71', Casasola T. 🟨,
76', Forte F. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
81', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
82', Corradini G. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
82', 4 - 0, Milanese T. ⚽,
90+4', Donnarumma D. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Ascoli is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Catania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
20.05.26	Ascoli - Potenza	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Potenza - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Campobasso - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ascoli - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Forlì - Ascoli	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group A
20.05.26	Catania - Lecco	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Lecco - Catania	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Atalanta U23 - Catania	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Catania - Potenza	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Crotone - Catania	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTTTL

Upcoming Matches