Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Lecco		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.2	3	2.25	Watch
	3.49	2.91	2.32
	3.34	2.87	2.28	Watch
	3.1	2.8	2.15
	3.29	3.15	2.24	Watch
	3.25	3.05	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.21)	2.96 ↓ (2.98)	2.24 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
28.1%

Draw
30.9%

Catania
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

31%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Catania aligns with the current prediction.

Lecco - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 18. Tanco G. J. 41. Romani L. 11. Urso O. 5. Zanellato N. 6. Mallamo A. 14. Bonaiti S. 80. Kritta M. 51. Konate I. 25. Sipos L.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 5. Miceli M. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Casasola T. 16. Quaini A. 14. Di Tacchio F. (C) 3. Celli A. 17. Bruzzaniti G. 32. Forte F. 10. Cicerelli E.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 27. Basili D. 32. Cosi L. 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 33. Lovisa N. 4. Marrone L. 20. Mihali L. 19. Ndongue F. 99. Parker S. 17. Pellegrino G. 8. Voltan D.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 29. Cargnelutti R. 18. Caturano S. 99. D'Ausilio M. 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Battistini M. 🟨,
23', Kritta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tanco G. J. ↓, Marrone L. ↑,
46', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
60', Ierardi M. ↓, Allegretto A. ↑,
62', Sipos L. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
69', Miceli M. 🟨,
70', Casasola T. ↓, Raimo A. ↑,
72', Konate I. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
72', Zanellato N. ↓, Pellegrino G. ↑,
84', Pieraccini S. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
86', Urso O. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
87', Jimenez K. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Lecco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Catania will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.62%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
13.05.26	Lecco - Pianese	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Pianese - Lecco	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Lecco - Giana Erminio	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Pergolettese - Lecco	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Lecco - Lumezzane	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Atalanta U23 - Catania	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Catania - Potenza	1:1 ✺
13.04.26	Crotone - Catania	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Catania - Picerno	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Latina - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TTLLW

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