Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Cardiff City		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.77
	4	3.65	1.8
	3.7	3.8	1.84
	3.78	3.62	1.83
	3.7	3.4	1.83
	3.78	3.7	1.87	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↓ (3.9)	3.65 ↓ (3.91)	1.83 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
24.5%

Draw
25.2%

Aston Villa
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

23.4%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

23.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Cardiff City - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Cardiff have a series of home games.

Aston Villa will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
12.11.22	Cardiff City - Sheffield United	0:1 ✺
08.11.22	Cardiff City - Hull City	2:3 ✺
05.11.22	Sunderland - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
02.11.22	Cardiff City - Watford	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Cardiff City - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWLW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
13.11.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
10.11.22	Manchester United - Aston Villa	4:2 ✺
English Premier League
06.11.22	Aston Villa - Manchester United	3:1 ✺
29.10.22	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	4:0 ✺
23.10.22	Aston Villa - Brentford	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.04.18	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	1:0
12.08.17	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	3:0
02.01.17	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	1:0
26.11.16	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	3:1
English Premier League
11.02.14	Cardiff City - Aston Villa	0:0
09.11.13	Aston Villa - Cardiff City	2:0

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