Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shakhtar Donetsk		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.9	1.62
	5	4	1.63
	5.25	4.1	1.65
	5.52	4.05	1.67
	5.22	3.98	1.69	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.65
	5.35	4.12	1.71
	5.25	4.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.32 ↑ (4.93)	4.02 ↓ (4.07)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
18.1%

Draw
23.9%

Atalanta
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

23.6%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

24.6%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	11.4%	81.4%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (55 of 68 users predict this - 80.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.53% – 90.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 5. Bondar V. 18. Ghram A. 22. Matviienko M. 30. Marlon Gomes 8. Kryskiv D. 6. Stepanenko T. (C) 13. Pedrinho 10. Sudakov G. 11. Zubkov O. 7. Eguinaldo	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 19. Djimsiti B. 23. Kolasinac S. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 77. Zappacosta D. 24. Samardzic L. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 72. Fesyun K. (G) 4. Franjic B. 37. Kevin 26. Konoplya Y. 29. Nazaryna Y. 39. Newerton 38. Pedrinho 9. Shved M. 17. Tobias V. 2. Traore L.	40. Comi P. 7. Cuadrado J. 49. Del Lungo T. 5. Godfrey B. 46. Manzoni A. 27. Palestra M. 8. Pasalic M. 28. Patricio R. (G) 32. Retegui M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 48. Vlahovic V. 10. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Pusic M.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', Ghram A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Djimsiti B. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Lookman A. ⚽, Kolasinac S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ghram A. ↓, Konoplya Y. ↑,
46', Djimsiti B. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
48', 0 - 3, Bellanova R. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
60', Lookman A. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
60', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
63', Eguinaldo ↓, Traore L. ↑,
63', Stepanenko T. ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
63', Marlon Gomes ↓, Kevin ↑,
75', Zubkov O. ↓, Newerton ↑,
75', Bellanova R. ↓, Cuadrado J. ↑,
78', Zaniolo N. 🟨,
78', Gasperini G. 🟨,
83', Kossounou O. ↓, Godfrey B. ↑,
84', Ederson 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Veltins Arena.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

There will not play in Shakhtar: Puzankov T. (Knee Injury) Sikan D. (Face Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Brescianini M. (Thigh Injury) Hien I. (Thigh Injury) Ruggeri M. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Toloi R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Shakhtar: Kevin (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
27.09.24	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Obolon	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Bologna - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
14.09.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - Karpaty Lviv	5:2 ✺
24.08.24	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWTWL
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
28.09.24	Bologna - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Atalanta - Como	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.24	Atalanta - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
15.09.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	3:2 ✺
30.08.24	Inter Milan - Atalanta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.12.19	Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta	0:3
01.10.19	Atalanta - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2

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