Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Sanchez J. M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 5, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Select 1, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 7, Pickx+ Sports 7, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Brazil	Max
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	ESPN 4
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Italy	Sky Sport 257
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	HBO Max
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax Caribbean
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 5
Portugal	DAZN 5
Romania	Prima Sport 1, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 2
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App, Virgin TV Go app


	Borussia Dortmund		Celtic

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	6
	1.49	4.75	6
	1.48	4.95	6.4
	1.49	5	6.34
	1.5	4.96	5.94	Watch
	1.5	4.75	5.8
	1.52	5.09	6.12
	1.48	4.95	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.46)	4.9 ↑ (4.85)	6.13 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
64.6%

Draw
19.6%

Celtic
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

19.7%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

21.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.6%	3.7%	9.8%

Borussia Dortmund - Celtic Predictions

Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (70 of 81 users predict this - 86.42%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.96% – 93.88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 2. Couto Y. 3. Anton W. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 13. Gross P. 23. Can E. (C) 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 43. Gittens J. 9. Guirassy S.	1. Schmeichel K. (G) 2. Johnston A. 6. Trusty A. 5. Scales L. 3. Taylor G. 27. Engels A. 42. McGregor C. (C) 28. Bernardo P. 10. Kuhn N. 8. Furuhashi K. 38. Maeda D.
Substitutes
46. Azhil A. 14. Beier M. 5. Bensebaini R. 16. Duranville J. 35. Lotka M. (G) 33. Meyer A. (G) 8. Nmecha F. 20. Sabitzer M. 25. Sule N.	29. Bain S. (G) 49. Forrest J. 41. Hatate R. 9. Idah A. 14. McCowan L. 17. Nawrocki M. 7. Palma L. 56. Ralston A. 12. Sinisalo V. (G) 11. Valle A. 57. Welsh S. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun
Coaches
Sahin N.	Rodgers B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 1)
6', Schmeichel K. 🟨,
7', 1 - 0, Can E. (Pen),
9', 1 - 1, Maeda D. ⚽, Engels A. (A),
11', 2 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
29', 3 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
32', Gross P. 🟨,
40', 4 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
42', 5 - 1, Adeyemi K. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Taylor G. ↓, Valle A. ↑,
46', Bernardo P. ↓, Hatate R. ↑,
48', Adeyemi K. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
61', Couto Y. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
61', Brandt J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
61', Gross P. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
63', Furuhashi K. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
63', Kuhn N. ↓, Yang Hyun-Jun ↑,
66', 6 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Schlotterbeck N. (A),
70', Guirassy S. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
74', Hatate R. 🟨,
79', 7 - 1, Nmecha F. ⚽,
86', Johnston A. ↓, Ralston A. ↑,
90+3', Bensebaini R. 🟨,

Preview

Borussia D is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celtic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Celtic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Celtic have a series of home games.

In this match Borussia D is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Reyna G. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia D: Gittens J. (Muscle Injury) Kabar A. (Broken nose) Sabitzer M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Celtic: Carter-Vickers C. (Toe Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
27.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	4:2 ✺
22.09.24	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Club Brugge - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	4:2 ✺
31.08.24	Werder Bremen - Borussia Dortmund	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWT
- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
28.09.24	St. Johnstone - Celtic	0:6 ✺
Scottish League Cup
22.09.24	Celtic - Falkirk	5:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.09.24	Celtic - Slovan Bratislava	5:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
14.09.24	Celtic - Hearts	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Celtic - Glasgow Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

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