Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Gewiss Stadium (Bergamo)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	RTBF
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport
Hungary	RTL3
Italy	Sky Sport
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Atalanta		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.33
	1.85	3.6	4.2
	1.88	3.65	4.25
	1.9	3.55	4.5
	1.88	3.57	4.57
	1.85	3.5	4.2
	1.89	3.66	4.41
	1.89	3.65	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.87)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	4.33 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
51.2%

Draw
26.7%

Olympique Marseille
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.1%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

27.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	10.8%	8.6%

Atalanta - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Atalanta will win (73 of 90 users predict this - 81.11%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.02% – 89.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musso J. (G) 15. De Roon M. (C) 4. Hien I. 19. Djimsiti B. 77. Zappacosta D. 7. Koopmeiners T. 13. Ederson 22. Ruggeri M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Scamacca G. 11. Lookman A.	16. Lopez P. (G) 99. Mbemba Ch. 4. Gigot S. (C) 5. Balerdi L. 3. Merlin Q. 7. Clauss J. 27. Veretout J. 19. Kondogbia G. 29. Ndiaye I. 10. Aubameyang P. 11. Harit A.
Substitutes
25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 43. Bonfanti G. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 53. Comi P. 33. Hateboer H. 59. Miranchuk Al. 45. Palestra M. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 10. Toure E. B.	36. Blanco R. (G) 20. Correa J. 49. Daou R. 46. Lafont G. 44. Luis Henrique 18. Meite A. 14. Moumbagna F. 62. Murillo M. 1. Ngapandouetnbu S. (G) 8. Ounahi A. 23. Sarr I. 37. Soglo E.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Gasset J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, De Ketelaere C. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Ederson 🟨,
52', 2 - 0, Ruggeri M. ⚽, Lookman A. (A),
55', Ederson ↓, Scalvini G. ↑,
55', Scamacca G. ↓, Miranchuk Al. ↑,
59', Mbemba Ch. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
59', Ndiaye I. ↓, Sarr I. ↑,
61', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
63', De Roon M. 🟨,
72', Clauss J. ↓, Moumbagna F. ↑,
72', Merlin Q. ↓, Luis Henrique ↑,
76', Lookman A. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,
76', Zappacosta D. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
84', Harit A. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 0, Toure E. B. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Atalanta in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marseille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marseille could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Marseille have a series of home games.

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: Holm E. (Calf Injury) Kolasinac S. (Muscle Injury) Toloi R. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Nadir B. (Knee Injury) Rongier V. (Knee Injury) Ruiz P. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
06.05.24	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
28.04.24	Atalanta - Empoli	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
24.04.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.04.24	Monza - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWWW
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.04.24	Olympique Marseille - Lens	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Olympique Marseille - Nice	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Toulouse - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
18.04.24	Olympique Marseille - Benfica	2:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Olympique Marseille - Atalanta	1:1

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