Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Caravaggio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno
World	Onefootball


	Atalanta U23		Salernitana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.27	2.39	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.3
	2.77	3.02	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	3.11 ↓ (3.56)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta U23
32.5%

Draw
29.2%

Salernitana
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

24.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta U23 than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Atalanta U23 - Salernitana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atalanta U23 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Vismara P. (G) 3. Berto G. 5. Navarro A. 26. Comi P. 2. Bergonzi F. 8. Panada S. (C) 6. Pounga D. K. 13. Ghislandi D. 9. Vavassori D. 7. Manzoni A. 10. Cisse M.	17. Donnarumma A. (G) 25. Matino E. 5. Capomaggio G. 2. Berra F. 14. Villa L. 39. Iervolino A. 8. de Boer K. 35. Longobardi G. 7. Achik I. 10. Ferrari F. 11. Liguori M.
Substitutes
. Artesani N. 58. Bonanomi A. 11. Cassa F. 18. Guerini A. 61. Idele J. 47. Levak S. 19. Obric R. . Plaia M. 22. Sassi J. (G) . Simonetto F. 25. Steffanoni F. 17. Torriani A. (G)	33. Anastasio A. 70. Boncori L. 22. Brancolini F. (G) 41. Cevers L. (G) 45. Di Vico R. 20. Ferraris A. 18. Golemic V. . Molina J. I. 24. Quirini E. 27. Ubani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Cisse M. 🟥,
19', Longobardi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vavassori D. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
46', Longobardi G. ↓, Quirini E. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, de Boer K. ⚽,
65', Pounga D. K. ↓, Steffanoni F. ↑,
66', Manzoni A. ↓, Bonanomi A. ↑,
72', Ferrari F. ↓, Molina J. I. ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Matino E. 🟨,
76', Ghislandi D. ↓, Simonetto F. ↑,
76', Matino E. ↓, Anastasio A. ↑,
77', Bonanomi A. 🟥,
83', Panada S. ↓, Levak S. ↑,
88', Liguori M. ↓, Di Vico R. ↑,
88', Achik I. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Atalanta U23 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salernitana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atalanta U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Salernitana	8	3	3	2	12:10	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta U23
Italian Serie C Group C
11.01.26	Casarano - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Atalanta U23 - Latina	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Catania - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Atalanta U23 - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Monopoli - Atalanta U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT
- US Salernitana 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
12.01.26	Salernitana - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Siracusa - Salernitana	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Salernitana - Foggia	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Picerno - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Salernitana - Trapani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
17.09.25	Salernitana - Atalanta U23	1:0

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