Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Referee: Ortega C. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Athletico Paranaense		Danubio

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	13	Watch
	1.24	5.75	11.5
	1.22	6	13	Watch
	1.24	6.04	13
	1.22	6.04	12.73
	1.17	5.8	15
	1.23	5.85	12.5	Watch
	1.23	5.6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.25)	5.85 ↑ (5.02)	12.84 ↑ (11.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
76.6%

Draw
16%

Danubio
7.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.7%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Athletico Paranaense - Danubio Predictions

Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bento (G) 29. Godoy L. 4. Kaique Rocha 15. Gamarra M. 37. Esquivel L. 10. Zapelli B. 5. Fernandinho (C) 26. Erick 28. Cuello 92. Pablo 9. Gonzalo Mastriani	1. Goicoechea M. (G) 23. Gonzalez M. 2. Etchebarne S. 3. Fracchia M. 4. Ancheta E. 7. Pintos I. 19. Romero S. 16. Peralta M. 8. Tizon C. 30. Fernandez S. 33. Leyes G.
Substitutes
80. Alex Santana 11. Benitez R. 14. Canobbio A. 88. Christian 7. Di Yorio L. 23. Felipinho 6. Fernando 57. Joao Cruz 20. Julimar 24. Leo Linck (G) 22. Madson 46. Marcos Maia	18. Bueno G. 20. Ferreira L. 34. Lewis K. 25. Montana A. 10. Monzeglio M. 13. Novick H. 15. Nunez R. 12. Rio J. (G) 11. Rossi N. 39. Sanseviero L. 17. Silvestre F. 6. Sosa L.
Coaches
Cuca	Apud A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Pintos I. ⚽, Ancheta E. (A),
36', Gonzalo Mastriani 🟨,
42', 0 - 2, Fernandez S. ⚽, Etchebarne S. (A),
44', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zapelli B. ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
46', Godoy L. ↓, Alex Santana ↑,
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Ferreira L. ↑,
58', Gamarra M. ↓, Christian ↑,
58', Cuello ↓, Julimar ↑,
59', Goicoechea M. 🟨,
66', Pablo ↓, Di Yorio L. ↑,
67', Tizon C. 🟨,
71', Tizon C. ↓, Lewis K. ↑,
71', Leyes G. ↓, Silvestre F. ↑,
77', Esquivel L. 🟨,
78', Canobbio A. 🟨,
80', Peralta M. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
85', Pintos I. ↓, Bueno G. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Di Yorio L. ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),

Preview

Athletico PR is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Danubio is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Athletico PR have a series of guest games.

In this match Athletico PR is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A
12.05.24	Palmeiras - Athletico Paranaense	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.24	Rayo Zuliano - Athletico Paranaense	1:5 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.05.24	Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.05.24	Ypiranga - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Juventude - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWLT
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.05.24	Cerro - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.24	Sportivo Ameliano - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.05.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	3:5 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.24	Danubio - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
24.04.24	Danubio - Athletico Paranaense	0:1

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