Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Brazil	16:10	Disney+, ESPN, SportyNet


	Atlético Goianiense		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5	Watch
	1.77	3.40	4.10
	1.71	3.60	4.70	Watch
	1.75	3.98	4.88
	1.78	3.64	4.4	Watch
	1.69	3.9	4.75
	1.73	3.59	4.75	Watch
	1.76	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.84)	3.65 ↑ (3.5)	4.64 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
54.1%

Draw
25.7%

Sport Recife
20.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 5. Leandro Vilela (C) 8. Peixoto 7. Bruno Jose 10. Netinho 11. Geovany Soares 9. Joao Pedro	26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 5. Benevenuto (C) 3. Marcelo Ajul 96. Edson Lucas 29. Willian Oliveira 7. Patrick de Paula 30. Chrystian Barletta 8. Juan Alano 10. de Pena Carlos 19. Neto Pessoa
Substitutes
17. Cristiano 20. Guilherme 18. Henrique Freitas 13. Henrique K. 19. Marrony 21. Matheusinho 14. Nata 22. Niltton I. 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 15. Tito 16. Yuri	80. Andrade K. 75. Arthur Maron 68. Augusto 6. Biel Fonseca 21. Brenno (G) 25. Clayson 20. Diego Hernandez 77. Dudu 28. Habraao 40. Matheus Baraka 9. Pedro Perotti 23. Ze Gabriel
Coaches
Roger Silva	Soso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', 1 - 0, Geovany Soares ⚽, Leandro Vilela (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Juan Alano ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
46', de Pena Carlos ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
46', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
52', Willian Oliveira ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
65', Benevenuto 🟥,
71', Diego Hernandez 🟨,
74', Bruno Jose ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
74', Netinho ↓, Henrique Freitas ↑,
78', Patrick de Paula ↓, Arthur Maron ↑,
81', Leandro Vilela ↓, Cristiano ↑,
81', Guilherme ↓, Yuri ↑,
81', Leandro Vilela 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Atlético GO for this game.

Confirmed absences for Atlético GO: Gustavo Coutinho (Yellow Cards) Warley (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Recife: Fabio Matheus (Ankle Injury) Felipinho (Knee Injury) Rai (Yellow Cards).

Doubtful / questionable for Recife: Diego Hernandez (Back Injury) Marlon Douglas (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Atlético GO has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:16 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético GO against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sport Recife	35	14	12	9	47:38	9	54
8	Atletico GO	35	14	12	9	42:33	9	54

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Goianiense - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.65%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	CRB Maceio - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Goianiense - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	São Bernardo - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
06.10.26	Sport Recife - São Bernardo	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Athletic Club - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Sport Recife	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Sport Recife - Juventude	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
18.06.26	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
10.11.23	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
14.07.23	Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife	3:1
Brazilian Serie A
31.10.21	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	2:0
07.07.21	Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife	1:1
23.11.20	Sport Recife - Atlético Goianiense	0:1
16.08.20	Atlético Goianiense - Sport Recife	1:1

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