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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 71.7%
Draw 18.4%
Escuela Municipal Binacional 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
23.7%
19.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.9%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Grau (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (G) 16. F. Rojas 27. Tapia R. 14. Bolivar J. 15. Rostaing J. 8. Soto D. (C) 5. Guarderas R. 6. Rodas E. 24. Olivares C. 25. Vilca R. 99. Ruidiaz R.
21. Azurin A. (G) 38. Perez C. 2. Rodriguez N. 4. Timana H. 7. Carranza J. 11. Chavez D. 13. Gutierrez A. 8. Tello Y. (C) 88. Aubert E. 22. Flores F. 20. Torres M.
Substitutes
11. Bandiera N. 26. Flores A. 29. Garcia B. 22. Herrera Joel 17. Reyes J. 21. Reynoso A. (G) 9. Sandoval T. 28. Solis A. 20. Vasquez A.
27. Aguinaga A. 28. Chavez E. 17. Crespo H. 18. Figueroa N. 25. Meza C. 1. Montalvo D. (G) 3. Montufar R. 14. Rasmussen M. 10. Torres R.
Coaches
Comizzo A.
Bustamante C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
33', Timana H. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
36', 2 - 0, Olivares C. ⚽, F. Rojas (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vilca R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
58', Tello Y. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
64', Chavez E. 🟨,
68', Perez C. 🟥,
73', Rostaing J. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
73', Olivares C. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
79', Soto D. ↓, Solis A. ↑,
81', Aubert E. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
81', Flores F. ↓, Aguinaga A. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Herrera Joel ⚽,
85', F. Rojas ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Grau is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F.
(Injury)
Garro J.
(Injury)
de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).