The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 22.5%
Draw 22.8%
Atlante 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.6%
23.7%
52.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
23.2%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-1%)
Atlético La Paz - Atlante Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Atlético La Paz (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 16. Del Aguila Y. 27. Garcia G. 19. Jaimes U. 12. Millan O. 15. Torres H. 7. Vazquez I. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.
1. Barragan R. (G) 33. Basulto L. 22. Calzadilla L. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 19. Gonzalez S. 21. Ibarra J. (C) 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F.
Substitutes
5. Bass A. 24. Cota A. 22. Flores R. 14. Galindo A. 8. Gutierrez L. 1. Moreno C. (G) 11. Renteria R. 3. Rodriguez G. 2. Vazquez S. 26. Yanez J.
31. Bello B. 11. Coubert R. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Garcia M. 8. Gonzalez R. 32. Millan Estrada M. A. (G) 16. Ramos R. 20. Tovar J. 9. Wlk A.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Fuentes M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
6', Del Aguila Y. 🟥,
15', Ibarra J. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Garcia Pardo M. (Pen),
45+1', 0 - 3, Gonzalez S. ⚽, Meza H. (A),
45+4', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
45+5', 0 - 4, Meza H. ⚽, Reyes F. (A),
45+6', Vazquez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
46', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
46', Jimenez E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
46', Millan O. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
47', Garcia G. 🟨,
56', Vazquez I. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
59', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Tovar J. ↑,
59', Gonzalez S. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
63', 0 - 5, Coubert R. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
65', Alvarez D. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
66', Vazquez S. 🟨,
68', 0 - 6, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Cruz D. (A),
71', Jaimes U. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
71', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0.
In recent matches, Atlético La Paz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Atlante is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Atlante is considered a favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.5:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Mexico
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Alcala G. (G) 
Rodriguez G. 
Wlk A. 
Castillo H. 
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