The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 62.3%
Draw 19.7%
Tlaxcala 18%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60.7%
20.2%
19.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
19.7%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Atlético La Paz aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 21. Robles C. 28. Zurita Jimenez U. 16. Del Aguila Y. 25. Illescas F. 5. Torres E. 20. Garcia M. 77. Alonzo J. 19. Jaimes U. 30. Robles A. 10. Barragan M. (C)
22. Bedolla P. (G) 12. Freyfeld J. 29. Trejo Castro M. A. 21. Garcia E. 3. Santos E. 1. Govea I. (C) 6. Iniestra A. 16. Ramirez M. 24. Robles E. 7. Hernandez E. 11. Alvarez D.
Substitutes
13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 9. Ferrer J. 6. Hernandez D. 18. Larios I. 12. Millan O. 11. Renteria R. 15. Torres H. 2. Vazquez S.
19. Camacho Lastra R. E. 9. Christian 2. Gonzalez C. 28. Hernandez D. 31. Hernandez R. 149. Mutoh K. 30. Nuno A. (G) 8. Plascencia F. 159. Zorrilla J.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Ortega A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', Ramirez M. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Alvarez D. ⚽, Robles E. (A),
29', Illescas F. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Robles A. ⚽, Jaimes U. (A),
35', Robles C. 🟨,
37', Robles E. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Robles E. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jaimes U. ↓, Millan O. ↑,
46', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Barragan M. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Freyfeld J. 🟨,
57', Garcia M. ↓, Larios I. ↑,
61', Ramirez M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
61', Hernandez E. ↓, Christian ↑,
73', Alvarez D. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
77', Govea I. ↓, Plascencia F. ↑,
77', Iniestra A. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
79', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟥,
82', Hernandez D. 🟨,
88', Barragan M. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
88', Robles A. ↓, Torres H. ↑,
90+6', Torres E. 🟨,
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3.
Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
Atlético La Paz carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Atlético La Paz has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 17:12 (averaging 2.1:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético La Paz against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:6 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).
Mexico
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Alcala G. (G) 
Ferrer J. 
Christian 
Castillo H. 
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