Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 10

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Mineiro		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.5
	1.9	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.91	3.35	4.63
	1.9	3.29	4.54	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.6
	1.92	3.32	4.35	Watch
	1.81	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	4.74 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
51.8%

Draw
28.2%

Corinthians
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.5%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	4.5%	9.1%

Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Atlético MG (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Corinthians (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Corinthians (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Corinthians (4.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético MG (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Corinthians (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (G) 2. Natanael 4. Lyanco 6. Alonso J. 44. Rubens 20. Patrick Silva 21. Franco A. 10. Gustavo Scarpa 33. Rony 7. Hulk (C) 11. Bernard	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 47. Joao Pedro 25. Caca 21. Matheus Bidu 14. Raniele (C) 37. Ryan 70. Martinez J. 19. Carrillo A. 43. Talles Magno 22. Hernandez H.
Substitutes
38. Caio Paulista 8. Fausto Vera 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 19. Joao Marcelo 37. Junior Santos 30. Palacios Alzate B. 26. Renzo Saravia 23. Roman I. 47. Romulus 14. Vitor Hugo	80. Alex Santana 5. Andre Ramalho 11. Angel Romero 27. Breno Bidon 35. Charles Rigon 46. Hugo 77. Igor Coronado 33. Leo Mana 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 7. Maycon 3. Torres F. 9. Yuri Alberto
Coaches
Cuca	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Lyanco 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Caca 🟨,
59', Bernard ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
59', Rony ↓, Junior Santos ↑,
60', Joao Pedro 🟨,
65', Martinez J. ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
65', Hernandez H. ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
67', Ryan 🟨,
73', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
74', Carrillo A. ↓, Breno Bidon ↑,
81', Matheuzinho ↓, Torres F. ↑,
83', Natanael ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
85', Angel Romero 🟨,
90+4', Cuca 🟨,
90+5', Rubens 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Atlético MG is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético MG: Cadu (Knee Injury) Caio Maia (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Garro R. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Henrique (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello (Injury) Guilherme Arana (Injury) Patrick Silva (Injury)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Depay M. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Maringá	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Deportes Iquique - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWL
- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
18.05.25	Corinthians - Santos	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.25	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.25	Corinthians - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
28.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	2:1
14.04.24	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
09.11.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
08.07.23	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1
Copa do Brasil
31.05.23	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	3:0 penalties
17.05.23	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
13.11.22	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:1

Upcoming Matches