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Current Win Probability
Atlético San Luis 41.9%
Draw 27%
Necaxa 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.3%
26.6%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
24.7%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Atlético San Luis - Necaxa Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Necaxa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Lajud M. G. (G) 30. Galindo B. 18. Cruz A. 31. Aguila E. 2. Torres R. 21. Macias O. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. (C) 22. Llorente R. 11. Rodriguez D. 17. Duarte A. 99. Mora F.
1. Andrade C. (G) 33. Martinez R. 4. Pena A. (C) 5. Naves 3. Oliveros A. 16. Pedraza P. 7. Rosero K. 9. Carranza J. 8. Faravelli L. 10. Ruiz J. 90. Valencia J.
Substitutes
13. Caicedo J. 20. Flores L. 7. Galdames B. 14. Garcia M. 6. Juanpe 23. Lopez De Alba C. I. (G) 5. Meraz R. 19. Munoz S. 8. Najera R. 26. Perez S.
21. Espindola M. 13. Gonzalez O. 6. Leyva D. 2. Martinez E. 15. Ochoa D. 181. Orantes J. (G) 99. Rodriguez E. 11. Torres Patino J. P. 88. Vargas C. 14. Zaleta M.
Coaches
Mejia D.
Varini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Carranza J. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Mora F. ⚽, Rodriguez D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Andrade C. (Own goal),
59', Rosero K. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
60', Ruiz J. ↓, Espindola M. ↑,
60', Oliveros A. ↓, Zaleta M. ↑,
72', Mora F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
78', Valencia J. ↓, Torres Patino J. P. ↑,
78', Rodriguez D. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
78', Llorente R. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
80', Pedraza P. 🟨,
81', 3 - 1, Aguila E. ⚽,
87', Pena A. ↓, Leyva D. ↑,
90', Duarte A. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
90', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
90+5', Cruz A. 🟨,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 0.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Atlético San Luis may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Atlético San Luis: Joao Pedro Galvao
(Knee Injury)
Medina J.
(Ankle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Necaxa: Jimenez L.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Atlético San Luis: Lucas Esteves
(Hamstring Injury)
Robson Bambu
(Muscle Injury)
Sanchez A.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Atlético San Luis has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:42 (averaging 1.2:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético San Luis against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 10:17 goals (averaging 1.1:1.9 per game).
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Costa-rica
Mexico
North-central-america
Peru
South-america
Uruguay
Venezuela
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Lajud M. G. (G) 
Salles-Lamonge S. (C) 
Llorente R. 
Rodriguez D. 
Duarte A. 
Mora F. 
Naves 
Rosero K. 
Carranza J. 
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