Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup

Date: 4 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Atlanta United		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.91	6.1
	1.49	4.78	5.94	Watch
	1.45	4.85	6.45	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.73)	4.63 ↑ (3.5)	5.86 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
63.7%

Draw
20.3%

Santos Laguna
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

22%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlanta United's performance.

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (-19.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlanta United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlanta United - Santos Laguna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cohen J. (G) 11. Lennon B. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Abram L. 18. Amador P. 6. Slisz B. (C) 35. Fortune A. 8. Muyumba T. 9. Lobjanidze S. 19. Rios D. 16. Silva X.	1. Acevedo C. (G) 24. Medina D. 4. Nunez S. 5. Santamaria A. 2. Amione B. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 15. Naveda S. 9. Carrillo J. 10. Fagundez F. 26. Sordo R. 11. Lozano C.
Substitutes
25. Brennan L. 47. Edwards M. 1. Guzan B. (G) 13. McCarty D. 21. Morales E. 20. Mosquera E. 30. Nick Firmino 29. Thiare J. 31. Westberg Q. (G) 3. Williams D. 28. Wolff T.	17. Echeverria E. 3. Govea I. 27. Gutierrez L. 33. Holguin H. (G) 247. Jimenez T. 16. Lopez A. 23. Lorona V. 21. Macias J. 19. Munoz S. 20. Rodriguez H. 186. Sanchez D. (G) 14. Villalba F.
Coaches
Valentino R.	Ambriz I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Lennon B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rios D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
54', Carrillo J. 🟨,
54', Muyumba T. 🟨,
60', Lozano C. 🟨,
60', Silva X. 🟨,
61', Nunez S. 🟨,
71', Amador P. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
71', Muyumba T. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
79', Fortune A. ↓, McCarty D. ↑,
82', Sordo R. ↓, Villalba F. ↑,
85', Santamaria A. ↓, Rodriguez H. ↑,
89', Silva X. ↓, Nick Firmino ↑,
90+6', Amione B. 🟨,
90+7', Amione B. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
90+7', Carrillo J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Munoz S. (Pen),
1, Lobjanidze S. (Pen),
2, Lozano C. (Pen),
2, McCarty D. (Pen),
3, Nunez S. (Pen),
3, Nick Firmino (Pen),
4, Fagundez F. (Pen),
4, Thiare J. (Pen),
5, Macias J. (Pen),

Preview

Atlanta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos Laguna has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Santos Laguna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Atlanta have a series of home games.

In this match Atlanta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
CONCACAF League Cup
26.07.24	Atlanta United - DC United	3:4 penalties ✺
MLS
20.07.24	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
17.07.24	Atlanta United - New York City	2:2 ✺
13.07.24	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
09.07.24	Atlanta United - Indy Eleven	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL
- Santos Laguna
CONCACAF League Cup
31.07.24	Santos Laguna - DC United	0:3 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
20.07.24	Santos Laguna - Tigres UANL	0:3 ✺
16.07.24	Atlas - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
13.07.24	Santos Laguna - UNAM	1:1 ✺
05.07.24	Puebla - Santos Laguna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

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