Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Rose Bowl (Pasadena, CA)

Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Fox Sports 503, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport +
India	DAZN
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Atlético Madrid		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	6	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.8
	1.64	3.95	5.83
	1.65	3.83	6.13
	1.38	4.72	8.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.42)	3.97 ↓ (4.9)	6.27 ↓ (8.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
60.2%

Draw
24.3%

Botafogo RJ
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.7%

19.9%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Madrid's form might have worsened.

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	8.7%	7.5%

Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Atlético (5.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 66.7%) .

AH +0.5 - Botafogo (2.28) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 50%) .

DNB - Botafogo (3.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Botafogo (2.27) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

EH +2 - Botafogo (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (66 of 78 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.61% – 92.63%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 56 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 36 - 64.3%). Botafogo (votes: 17 - 30.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 24. Le Normand R. 15. Lenglet C. 21. Galan J. 22. Simeone G. 5. de Paul R. 8. Barrios P. 4. Gallagher C. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.	12. John Victor (G) 2. Vitinho 32. Jair 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles 26. Gregore 25. Allan 17. Marlon Freitas (C) 7. Artur 99. Igor Jesus 10. Savarino J.
Substitutes
3. Azpilicueta C. 10. Correa A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 7. Griezmann A. 6. Koke 27. Kostis I. 11. Lemar T. 12. Lino S. 23. Mandava R. 18. Martin C. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 17. Riquelme R. 29. Serrano J. 20. Witsel A.	15. Bastos 98. Cabral A. 30. Correa J. 66. Cuiabano 5. Danilo Barbosa 57. David Ricardo 39. Gonzalo Mastriani 31. Kaio 24. Leo Linck (G) 8. Montoro A. 16. Nathan Fernandes 28. Newton 4. Ponte M. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 23. Rodriguez S.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Alves R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gallagher C. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
59', Allan ↓, Newton ↑,
60', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
65', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
65', Savarino J. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
65', de Paul R. ↓, Koke ↑,
74', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
74', Artur ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
84', Barrios P. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
84', Sorloth A. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
90+6', Gregore 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Atlético have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Botafogo is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Jeffinho (Inactive) Matheus Martins (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Gimenez J. M. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
FIFA Club World Cup
19.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.25	Girona - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
18.05.25	Atlético Madrid - Betis	4:1 ✺
15.05.25	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Botafogo RJ
FIFA Club World Cup
19.06.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Ceará	3:2 ✺
01.06.25	Santos - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.25	Botafogo RJ - Universidad de Chile	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WWWWW

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