Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 25 October 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Celtic		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.8
	4.2	3.8	1.78
	4.3	3.95	1.82	Watch
	4.35	3.9	1.85
	4.36	3.85	1.85
	4.33	3.9	1.75
	4.45	3.94	1.77
	4.3	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.57)	3.92 ↑ (3.66)	1.81 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Network on TV: Galavision

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Current Win Probability

Celtic
22.4%

Draw
24.5%

Atlético Madrid
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

26%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

26%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celtic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Madrid's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celtic than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.8%	3.6%	94.7%

Celtic - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (160 of 169 users predict this - 94.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 91.28% – 98.06%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hart J. (G) 2. Johnston A. 20. Carter-Vickers C. 5. Scales L. 3. Taylor G. 33. O'Riley M. 42. McGregor C. (C) 41. Hatate R. 38. Maeda D. 8. Furuhashi K. 7. Palma L.	13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 15. Savic S. 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 5. de Paul R. 6. Koke (C) 8. Niguez S. 17. Galan J. 7. Griezmann A. 19. Morata A.
Substitutes
29. Bain S. (G) 28. Bernardo P. 49. Forrest J. 24. Iwata T. 90. Johnston M. 4. Lagerbielke G. 43. Morrison J. (G) 19. Oh Hyeon-Gyu 6. Phillips N. 56. Ralston A. 14. Turnbull D. 13. Yang Hyun-Jun	3. Azpilicueta C. 24. Barrios P. 10. Correa A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Grbic I. (G) 14. Llorente M. 25. Riquelme R. 4. Soyuncu C.
Coaches
Rodgers B.	Simeone D.

Preview

Celtic is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Atlético in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Celtic: Abada L. (Thigh Injury) McCarthy J. (Muscle Injury) Tilio M. (Injury) Welsh S. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lino S. (Knee Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Vitolo (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Celtic: Nawrocki M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celtic
Scottish Premier League
22.10.23	Hearts - Celtic	1:4 ✺
07.10.23	Celtic - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Celtic - Lazio	1:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
30.09.23	Motherwell - Celtic	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Livingston - Celtic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
21.10.23	Celta de Vigo - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Feyenoord	3:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
28.09.23	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

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