Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 4 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Atlético Madrid		Feyenoord

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5
	1.65	4	5
	1.65	4.15	5.2	Watch
	1.67	3.8	5
	1.67	4.18	5.24
	1.62	4.2	5
	1.65	4.2	5
	1.68	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	4.08 ↑ (3.96)	5.06 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
57.7%

Draw
23.4%

Feyenoord
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

24.6%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Feyenoord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	3.4%	8.5%

Atlético Madrid - Feyenoord Predictions

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (103 of 117 users predict this - 88.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.15% – 93.91%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 16. Molina N. 3. Azpilicueta C. 20. Witsel A. 22. Hermoso M. 12. Lino S. 5. de Paul R. 6. Koke (C) 8. Niguez S. 19. Morata A. 7. Griezmann A.	22. Wellenreuther T. (G) 4. Geertruida L. 18. Trauner G. (C) 33. Hancko D. 5. Hartman Q. 20. Wieffer M. 6. Zerrouki R. 8. Timber Q. 10. Stengs C. 9. Ueda A. 14. Igor Paixao
Substitutes
29. Bonar J. 10. Correa A. 17. Galan J. 26. Gismera A. 31. Gomis A. (G) 1. Grbic I. (G) 27. Kostis I. 14. Llorente M. 40. Mini 25. Riquelme R.	3. Beelen T. 11. Dilrosun J. 7. Jahanbakhsh A. 31. Lamprou K. (G) 32. Lingr O. 15. Lopez M. 19. Minteh Y. 2. Nieuwkoop B. 16. van den Belt T. 39. van Sas M. (G)
Coaches
Simeone D.	Slot A.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Feyenoord could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Atlético is a favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury) Lemar T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Knee Injury) Vitolo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Feyenoord: Bijlow J. (Wrist Injury) Gimenez S. (Red Card) Ivanusec L. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Atlético: Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Savic S. (Muscle Injury) Soyuncu C. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Feyenoord: Milambo A. (Injury) Zaal T. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Atlético won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
01.10.23	Atlético Madrid - Cádiz	3:2 ✺
28.09.23	Osasuna - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
24.09.23	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Lazio - Atlético Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.09.23	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWTL
- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
30.09.23	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	3:1 ✺
27.09.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.09.23	Feyenoord - Celtic	2:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
16.09.23	Feyenoord - Heerenveen	6:1 ✺
03.09.23	Utrecht - Feyenoord	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.08.21	Feyenoord - Atlético Madrid	2:1

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