Match Info

Date: 19 October 2021, Tuesday


	Atlético Madrid		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.4
	3.25	3.3	2.25
	3.25	3.35	2.4
	3	3.25	2.44
	3.14	3.3	2.49
	3.2	3.2	2.37
	3.18	3.4	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.11)	3.29 ↓ (3.34)	2.41 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
30.7%

Draw
29.3%

Liverpool
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.4%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

19.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liverpool, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.7%	28.7%	58.6%

Atlético Madrid - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 157 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 20 - 12.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 92 - 58.6%). It will Tie (votes: 45 - 28.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 50.9% – 66.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlético has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (22%), has a good chance of 2nd (53%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of qtrs (39%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (9%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Liverpool has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (76%), has a chance of 2nd (21%), has a very small chance of 3rd (3%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (96%), has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (43%), has a chance of final (24%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Liverpool have a series of guest games.

Liverpool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.21	Atlético Madrid - Barcelona	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.09.21	Milan - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.09.21	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
18.09.21	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWT
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
16.10.21	Watford - Liverpool	0:5 ✺
03.10.21	Liverpool - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.09.21	Porto - Liverpool	1:5 ✺
English Premier League
25.09.21	Brentford - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Norwich City - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
11.03.20	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ET
18.02.20	Atlético Madrid - Liverpool	1:0
Audi Cup
02.08.17	Atlético Madrid - Liverpool	2:1 penalties

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