Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	Porto		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.75
	4.75	3.9	1.72
	5	3.95	1.75
	4.4	3.9	1.77
	4.68	3.9	1.81
	4.6	3.8	1.75
	4.55	3.96	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.44)	3.92 ↓ (4)	1.77 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
20.8%

Draw
24.6%

Liverpool
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

23.7%

55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

19.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Liverpool could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.2%	11.1%	80.7%

Porto - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (167 of 207 users predict this - 80.68%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 86.06%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Porto has currently - 1, has a small chance of 1st (13%), has a chance of 2nd (25%), has a chance of 3rd (31%), has a chance of round of 16 (38%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Liverpool has currently - 3, has a good chance of 1st (62%), has a chance of 2nd (22%), has a small chance of 3rd (12%), has a good chance of round of 16 (84%), has a good chance of qtrs (55%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Porto is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Liverpool is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liverpool is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Porto won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
24.09.21	Gil Vicente - Porto	1:2 ✺
19.09.21	Porto - Moreirense	5:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Atlético Madrid - Porto	0:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.09.21	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Porto - Arouca	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
25.09.21	Brentford - Liverpool	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Norwich City - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
18.09.21	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Liverpool - Milan	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.21	Leeds United - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
17.04.19	Porto - Liverpool	1:4
09.04.19	Liverpool - Porto	2:0
06.03.18	Liverpool - Porto	0:0
14.02.18	Porto - Liverpool	0:5

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